宝城期货原油早报-2026-03-03-20260303

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Group 2: Report Core View - The international crude oil futures prices have risen significantly, driving up the domestic crude oil futures on Monday night. It is expected that the domestic crude oil futures may maintain a strong trend on Tuesday. The short - term geopolitical factors outweigh the weak supply - demand fundamentals of crude oil, and the crude oil is running strongly due to geopolitical risks [1][5] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalog Time - period View - Short - term (within one week): The crude oil 2604 is expected to be oscillating and slightly strong [1] - Medium - term (two weeks to one month): The crude oil 2604 is expected to be oscillating, and the overall view on crude oil (SC) is also oscillating [1][5] - Intraday: The crude oil (SC) is expected to be strong, and the view on crude oil 2604 is also strong [1][5] Core Logic - Geopolitical risks have increased rapidly as the US and Israel launched military attacks on Iran, and Iran announced the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which restricts the transportation of energy supplies such as crude oil and natural gas from the Middle East. Although OPEC+ oil - producing countries announced to resume production increase in the second quarter, short - term geopolitical factors outweigh the weak supply - demand fundamentals of crude oil, leading to a significant increase in crude oil premiums [5]