Changjiang Securities·2026-03-03 05:42Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the construction and engineering sector [8]. Core Insights - The construction sector's performance shows a phase differentiation around the Two Sessions from 2021 to 2025, with most years experiencing an increase in the two trading days before the sessions, while the period during the sessions has seen declines. Post-session, there is often a recovery in the following five trading days [2][6]. - The construction sector is primarily policy-driven, with a notable weakening in the pre-session policy speculation. However, there is a significant recovery following the clarification of policies post-sessions. The report highlights that the Longjiang Construction Engineering Index saw increases in the two trading days before the sessions, except for 2022 and 2025, with a notable 3.9% increase in 2023 [12]. - The report suggests that the industry focus may shift towards cutting-edge technologies related to new productive forces and consumer sectors related to domestic demand expansion [12]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The construction sector has shown a mixed performance in the past 12 months, with a notable increase in the Longjiang Construction Engineering Index compared to the CSI 300 index [10]. Event Commentary - The report indicates that the overall resumption of work in early 2023 has improved, with a work resumption rate of 8.9% and a labor utilization rate of 15.5% as of February 25, 2023. The anticipated GDP growth target for 2026 is likely to be set between 4.5% and 5.0% [12]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the construction sector's response to policy changes, particularly in the context of local debt pressures and the ongoing real estate downturn [12]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on three main lines within the construction sector: 1. Domestic Demand Chain: Highlighting companies like Sichuan Road and Bridge, China State Construction, and China Railway [12]. 2. Inflation Chain: Companies such as China Chemical are expected to benefit from rising commodity prices [12]. 3. Technology Chain: Companies involved in cleanroom construction and commercial aerospace are highlighted, including Yaxiang Integration and Shenghui Integration [12].