公募基金3月月报：小盘价值风格表现突出，多只宽基指数ETF呈现资金流出-20260303

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Views of the Report - In February, the main indices of the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets showed mixed performance. The CSI 500 and the Small and Medium - cap Board Index led the gains with increases of over 3%, while the STAR 50 Index had the largest decline of 1.42%. Among the 31 Shenwan primary industries, 23 industries rose, with the top 5 gainers being comprehensive, steel, building materials, environmental protection, and machinery and equipment, and the top 5 decliners being media, commercial trade, non - banking finance, banking, and pharmaceutical biology [1][14]. - In January 2026, the total number of new individual investor accounts opened in the market reached 4.9058 million, and the number of new institutional investor accounts was 10,600. Individual investor enthusiasm further increased, while institutional investor activity declined [2][21]. - In February, 28 new funds were issued with a total scale of 17.847 billion yuan. The issuance of active equity funds and passive equity funds was 3.354 billion shares and 2.928 billion shares respectively, and the issuance of active equity funds decreased significantly compared to the previous month. Overall, affected by the Spring Festival holiday, the overall issuance rhythm slowed down [3][35]. - In February, except for QDII and commodity - type funds, other types of funds rose to varying degrees. The average increase of equity - biased funds was the largest, at 1.15%. Among different - style funds, the small - cap value style had the largest increase of 4.41%, and the large - cap growth style had the smallest increase of about 0.31% [3][41]. - By calculating the average returns of equity - biased public funds of different scales last month, it can be seen that the mini - funds with a scale of 50 - 100 million yuan had the largest average increase of 1.31%, with a positive - return ratio of 64.75%. Only the super - large funds with a scale of over 10 billion yuan declined, with a decline of 0.33% and a positive - return ratio of 38.71% [3][49]. - Through the calculation of the industry positions of active equity funds, in February, the industries with the highest increase in positions were media, building materials, and comprehensive, and the industries with the highest reduction in positions were electronics, pharmaceutical biology, and non - ferrous metals. As of February 27, 2026, the overall position of active equity funds was 77.23%, an increase of 3.13 percentage points from the previous month [4][52]. - In February, the net outflow of funds from ETFs was 21.106 billion yuan. At the individual - bond level, many broad - based index ETFs showed a trend of capital outflow. Among the most actively traded targets on a daily - average basis, the Grid Equipment ETF, Machine Tool ETF, Rare Earth ETF E Fund, Shipbuilding ETF, and Oil and Gas ETF Huatai - PineBridge had the highest increases of 10.1% - 14.5%; the E Fund China Concept Internet ETF, Huatai - PineBridge Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology ETF, Puyin Game and Media ETF, Artificial Intelligence 50 ETF, and Silver Fund New Economy ETF had the highest declines of 7.3% - 14.0%. In terms of capital flow, the Hang Seng Tech ETF, Satellite ETF, Cathay Gold ETF, Grid Equipment ETF, and Securities ETF had the highest net inflows, and the Southern CSI 500 ETF, Huatai - PineBridge CSI 300 ETF, Southern CSI 1000 ETF, Non - Ferrous Metals ETF Fund, and Huaxia SSE 50 ETF had the highest net outflows [5][60]. - In February, the risk - parity model declined by 0.23%, and the risk - budget model declined by 0.48%. Since 2015, the annualized return of the risk - parity model has been 6.32% with a maximum drawdown of 1.29%, and the annualized return of the risk - budget model has been 8.08% with a maximum drawdown of 2.35%. Next month, the asset - allocation weights of the models remain unchanged [6][70]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Domestic Market Situation - In February, the main stock indices in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets showed mixed performance. The CSI 500 and the Small and Medium - cap Board Index led the gains with increases of over 3%, and the STAR 50 Index had the largest decline of 1.42%. Among the 31 Shenwan primary industries, 23 industries rose, with the top 5 gainers being comprehensive, steel, building materials, environmental protection, and machinery and equipment, and the top 5 decliners being media, commercial trade, non - banking finance, banking, and pharmaceutical biology [1][14]. - The ChinaBond Composite Total Return Index rose 0.01%, the ChinaBond Treasury Bond, Financial Bond, and Credit Bond Total Return Indices ranged from a decline of 0.02% to an increase of 0.14%, the CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 0.89%, and the Nanhua Commodity Index fell 1.32% [14]. - In January 2026, the total number of new individual investor accounts opened in the market reached 4.9058 million, and the number of new institutional investor accounts was 10,600. Individual investor enthusiasm further increased, while institutional investor activity declined [2][21]. - The new - filing scale of private securities investment funds in December increased month - on - month to 54.174 billion yuan, and the existing scale continued to expand, reaching 22.15 trillion yuan as of that month, remaining at a historically high level [22]. 3.2 European, American, and Asia - Pacific Market Situation In February, most of the main indices in the European, American, and Asia - Pacific markets rose. In the US stock market, the S&P 500 declined by 2.13%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.13%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index declined by 3.38%. In the European market, the French CAC 40 rose by 5.59%, and the German DAX rose by 3.04%. In the Asia - Pacific market, the Hang Seng Index declined by 2.76%, and the Nikkei 225 rose by 10.37% [27]. 3.3 Market Valuation Situation - In February, the valuations of the main market indices showed mixed trends. In terms of the historical percentile of price - to - earnings ratio, the CSI All - Share Index led the increase with a rise of 5.4 percentage points. In terms of the historical percentile of price - to - book ratio, the CSI 1000 Index led the increase with a rise of 5.2 percentage points [30]. - Among industries, the top five industries with the highest historical percentile of price - to - earnings ratio of the Shenwan primary index last month were real estate, electronics, building materials, comprehensive, and chemical. The price - to - earnings ratio percentile of the real estate industry was at a high level, and that of the electronics industry reached 96.9%. The bottom five industries with the lowest historical percentile of price - to - earnings ratio were non - banking finance, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, food and beverage, beauty care, and pharmaceutical biology, where the valuation of the non - banking finance industry was close to its historical low since 2013 [30]. 3.4 Public Fund Overall Situation 3.4.1 Fund Issuance Situation In February, 28 new funds were issued with a total scale of 17.847 billion yuan. Affected by holidays, the issuance rhythm slowed down. Among them, 10 equity funds were issued with a scale of 2.939 billion yuan, 9 hybrid funds were issued with a scale of 3.344 billion yuan, 3 bond funds were issued with a scale of 2.459 billion yuan, and 6 FOF funds were issued with a scale of 9.106 billion yuan. The issuance of active equity funds and passive equity funds was 3.354 billion shares and 2.928 billion shares respectively, and the issuance of active equity funds decreased significantly compared to the previous month [35]. 3.4.2 Fund Market Return Situation - In February, except for QDII and commodity - type funds, other types of funds rose to varying degrees. The average increase of equity - biased funds was the largest, at 1.15% [39]. - Different - style funds showed differentiated performance. The value style outperformed the growth style, and the small - and medium - cap styles outperformed the large - cap style. The small - cap value style had the largest increase of 4.41%, and the large - cap growth style had the smallest increase of about 0.31% [41]. - By calculating the average returns of equity - biased public funds of different scales last month, it can be seen that the mini - funds with a scale of 50 - 100 million yuan had the largest average increase of 1.31%, with a positive - return ratio of 64.75%. Only the super - large funds with a scale of over 10 billion yuan declined, with a decline of 0.33% and a positive - return ratio of 38.71% [49]. 3.4.3 Active Equity Fund Position Situation - In February, the industries with the highest increase in positions of active equity funds were media, building materials, and comprehensive, and the industries with the highest reduction in positions were electronics, pharmaceutical biology, and non - ferrous metals [52]. - As of February 27, 2026, the overall position of active equity funds was 77.23%, an increase of 3.13 percentage points from the previous month [54]. 3.5 ETF Fund Situation - In February, the net outflow of funds from ETFs was 21.106 billion yuan. Among them, the net outflow of equity ETFs was 90.586 billion yuan, the net inflow of cross - border ETFs was 47.433 billion yuan, and the net inflow of bond ETFs was 7.818 billion yuan. In terms of liquidity, the average daily trading volume of the overall ETF market this period reached 518.894 billion yuan, and the average daily trading volume reached 186.344 billion shares. The average daily turnover rate was 8.12%, a decrease of 1.05 percentage points from January [59]. - At the individual - bond level, many broad - based index ETFs showed a trend of capital outflow. Among the most actively traded targets on a daily - average basis, the Grid Equipment ETF, Machine Tool ETF, Rare Earth ETF E Fund, Shipbuilding ETF, and Oil and Gas ETF Huatai - PineBridge had the highest increases of 10.1% - 14.5%; the E Fund China Concept Internet ETF, Huatai - PineBridge Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology ETF, Puyin Game and Media ETF, Artificial Intelligence 50 ETF, and Silver Fund New Economy ETF had the highest declines of 7.3% - 14.0%. In terms of capital flow, the Hang Seng Tech ETF, Satellite ETF, Cathay Gold ETF, Grid Equipment ETF, and Securities ETF had the highest net inflows, and the Southern CSI 500 ETF, Huatai - PineBridge CSI 300 ETF, Southern CSI 1000 ETF, Non - Ferrous Metals ETF Fund, and Huaxia SSE 50 ETF had the highest net outflows [60]. 3.6 Model Operation Situation - Four types of large - asset allocation models were constructed using stocks, bonds, commodities, and QDII assets. Among them, the first two are fixed - ratio models, and the ratios of the latter two models are adjusted monthly based on 24 - month data [66]. - In February, the risk - parity model declined by 0.23%, and the risk - budget model declined by 0.48%. Since 2015, the annualized return of the risk - parity model has been 6.32% with a maximum drawdown of 1.29%, and the annualized return of the risk - budget model has been 8.08% with a maximum drawdown of 2.35% [6][70]. - Next month, the asset - allocation weights of the models remain unchanged. For the risk - parity model, the ratio of stocks: bonds: commodities: QDII is 7%: 69%: 11%: 13%; for the risk - budget model, the ratio is 14%: 49%: 8%: 28% [71].