East Money Securities·2026-03-03 10:07Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (00388.HK) [2][7] Core Insights - The company achieved record high performance in 2025, with total revenue and other income reaching HKD 29.161 billion, a year-on-year increase of 30% [5] - Shareholder profit attributable to the company was HKD 17.700 billion, up 36% year-on-year, driven by a 32% increase in main business revenue due to a surge in trading volume [5] - The IPO market saw a significant rebound, with 119 new listings raising a total of HKD 286.9 billion, a 226% increase year-on-year, reclaiming the top position globally for IPO fundraising [5] Financial Performance - In 2025, the average daily trading volume (ADT) for Hong Kong stocks reached HKD 2,498 billion, a remarkable 89.5% increase year-on-year, with southbound funds becoming a crucial liquidity source [5][6] - The derivatives market also showed strong performance, with an average daily contract volume of 1.66 million, a 7% increase year-on-year, and stock options being a particularly active segment with a 22% increase [5] - The company’s strategic initiatives included diversifying asset classes and enhancing global connectivity, with significant progress in fixed income and currency businesses [5][6] Earnings Forecast - Projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are HKD 31.960 billion, HKD 34.331 billion, and HKD 37.597 billion respectively, with growth rates of 9.60%, 7.42%, and 9.51% [7][8] - Expected net profits for the same years are HKD 20.463 billion, HKD 22.043 billion, and HKD 24.357 billion, reflecting growth rates of 15.61%, 7.72%, and 10.50% [7][8] - The report indicates a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 25.40 for 2026, decreasing to 21.34 by 2028 [7][8]