Guoxin Securities·2026-03-03 13:30Quantitative Models and Construction Methods - Model Name: CNI Industrial Software Theme Index Model Construction Idea: The index aims to comprehensively reflect the overall performance of China's industrial software industry by selecting 50 stocks from companies involved in industrial R&D design software, industrial production information software, industrial enterprise business management software, and industrial automation software[2][32][33] Model Construction Process: 1. Sample Space Definition: Includes A-shares and depositary receipts of red-chip enterprises meeting the following conditions: - Non-ST or *ST securities - Listed for over 1 year on the STAR Market or Beijing Stock Exchange, and over 6 months for other securities - No major violations or financial issues in the past year - No abnormal operations or significant losses in the past year - No abnormal price fluctuations during the observation period - Business involvement in industrial software-related fields such as R&D design, production information, business management, and automation software[33] 2. Selection Method: - Calculate the average daily trading volume and market capitalization over the past six months for eligible securities - Exclude the bottom 10% of securities by average daily trading volume - Rank the remaining securities by average daily market capitalization and select the top 50 as index components. If fewer than 50 securities meet the criteria, all eligible securities are included[33] 3. Weighting Method: The index uses the Paasche weighting method and adjusts weights to ensure that the weight of industrial R&D design software is not less than 50%[33] 4. Periodic Adjustments: The index is adjusted semi-annually on the trading day following the second Friday of June and December[33] - Model Evaluation: The index is highly focused on the industrial software sector, with a strong emphasis on innovation and small-cap characteristics, making it a valuable tool for capturing growth in this industry[32][34][39] --- Model Backtesting Results - CNI Industrial Software Theme Index: - Annualized Return: 2.52% - Annualized Sharpe Ratio (IR): 0.23 - Annualized Volatility: 30.01% - Maximum Drawdown: -61.56%[56] --- Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods - Factor Name: R&D Intensity Factor Factor Construction Idea: Measures the innovation capability of index components by calculating the proportion of R&D expenses to operating revenue[36] Factor Construction Process: - Formula: $ R&D\ Intensity = \frac{R&D\ Expenses}{Operating\ Revenue} $ - Data: - 2022: 4.31% - 2023: 8.64% - 2024: 8.71% - 2025 (Q3): 9.22%[36][37] - Factor Evaluation: The continuous increase in R&D intensity highlights the sector's strong focus on innovation and technological advancement[36][37] --- Factor Backtesting Results - R&D Intensity Factor: - 2022: 4.31% - 2023: 8.64% - 2024: 8.71% - 2025 (Q3): 9.22%[36][37] --- Additional Observations - The index exhibits a strong small-cap bias, with an average market capitalization of 276.24 billion RMB, and over 70% of its components having a market cap below 200 billion RMB[45][46] - The index is highly concentrated in the computer industry (62%), with significant weights in sub-sectors like software (38.63%), cloud services (15.69%), and electrical equipment (15.51%)[39][42] - The index includes 34 "specialized, refined, distinctive, and innovative" (SRDI) companies, accounting for 68% of its components, significantly higher than other mainstream indices[49][53] - Projected growth: - 2025E Net Profit Growth: 59.22% - 2026E Net Profit Growth: 30.12% - 2025E EPS Growth: 59.93% - 2026E EPS Growth: 59.32%[47][51]