2月PMI数据点评:制造业供、需指数均有下滑
Bank of China Securities·2026-03-04 09:30

Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing PMI index for February is 49.0%, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points from January, indicating continued contraction in the manufacturing sector[1] - The new orders index is at 48.6%, down 0.6 percentage points, while the new export orders index has dropped 2.8 percentage points to 45.0%[1] - The production index is at 49.6%, reflecting a decline of 1.0 percentage points, and the raw material inventory index is at 47.5%, showing a slight recovery of 0.1 percentage points[2] Price Indices - The main raw material purchase price index is at 54.8%, down 1.3 percentage points but still in a high growth range; the manufacturing output price index remains stable at 50.6%[2] - The price performance in various industries shows improvements in the black metal smelting and metal products sectors, indicating support from high-tech industry investments[2] Investment Outlook - The equipment manufacturing and raw materials industries are sensitive to fixed asset investment, with some demand and price indices improving, suggesting a buildup in infrastructure and housing projects[3] - The manufacturing business activity expectation index has risen to 53.2%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points, indicating a slight recovery in business sentiment[2] Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing PMI index is at 49.5%, a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points but still in contraction territory; the new orders index is at 45.2%, down 0.9 percentage points[4] - The construction sector PMI is at 48.2%, down 0.6 percentage points, with the new orders index at 42.2%, showing a slight recovery of 2.1 percentage points[4]

2月PMI数据点评:制造业供、需指数均有下滑 - Reportify