南华期货碳酸锂数据日报-20260304

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints - No clear core viewpoints are presented in the report 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Futures Data - The price range forecast for the lithium carbonate futures main contract has a strong resistance level at 220,000 yuan/ton, with a current 20 - day rolling volatility of 105.7% and a historical percentile of 95.4% over 3 years [2] - The closing price of the main contract is 153,060 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 2,200 yuan (1.46%) and a weekly decrease of 13,420 yuan (-8.06%). The trading volume is 297,139 lots, with a daily decrease of 147,976 lots (-33.24%) and a weekly decrease of 25,588 lots (-7.93%). The open interest is 339,011 lots, with a daily decrease of 593 lots (-0.17%) and a weekly decrease of 38,026 lots (-10.09%) [4] - The closing price of the weighted index contract is 153,159 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 2,048 yuan (1.36%) and a weekly decrease of 13,560 yuan (-8.13%). The trading volume is 395,579 lots, with a daily decrease of 186,127 lots (-32.00%) and a weekly decrease of 18,527 lots (-4.47%). The open interest is 637,547 lots, with a daily decrease of 9,283 lots (-1.44%) and a weekly decrease of 60,058 lots (-8.61%) [4] - The price differences between different contracts (LC2605 - LC2607, LC2605 - LC2609, LC2607 - LC2609) have different daily and weekly changes [4] - The number of lithium carbonate warehouse receipts on the GQEX is 38,196 lots, with a daily decrease of 265 lots (-0.69%) and a weekly decrease of 563 lots (-1.45%) [4] 3.2 Spot Data - In the lithium - ion battery industry chain, various lithium - related products have different price changes. For example, the average price of lithium mica (2 - 2.5%) is 5,190 yuan/ton, with a daily decrease of 160 yuan (-2.99%); the average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate is 154,000 yuan/ton, with a daily decrease of 7,000 yuan (-4.35%) [18] - The exchange rate of the US dollar against the RMB is 6.9174, with a daily increase of 0.0349 (0.51%) [18] - The price differences between different lithium products, such as the difference between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate, and the difference between battery - grade lithium carbonate and battery - grade lithium hydroxide, have different changes [22] 3.3 Basis and Warehouse Receipt Data - The basis of the lithium carbonate main - continuous contract and the near - month contract shows different trends over different time periods [28][37] - The brand - based basis quotes of different lithium carbonate producers are provided, such as - 500 yuan for Shengxin Lithium Energy, 300 yuan for Tianqi Lithium Industry, etc. [31] - The number of lithium carbonate warehouse receipts shows a decrease compared to the previous day, with a total of 38,196 lots today, a decrease of 265 lots from yesterday [35] 3.4 Cost and Profit - The production profits of lithium carbonate from purchased lithium ore (lithium spodumene concentrate and lithium mica concentrate) and the production profits of lithium hydroxide by causticization and smelting methods are presented, showing different trends over time [38] - The theoretical delivery profit of lithium carbonate, the export profit of lithium hydroxide, and the import profit of lithium carbonate are also shown [38]