ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2026-03-04 12:43Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the quantum technology industry Core Insights - Quantum technology is moving towards practical applications, reshaping the future with a clear industrial chain consisting of upstream core hardware, midstream system integration, and downstream industry applications. The global quantum industry market size is expected to reach up to $97 billion by 2035, with quantum computing potentially creating value between $28 billion and $72 billion, quantum communication between $11 billion and $15 billion, and quantum sensing between $7 billion and $10 billion, totaling up to $97 billion. The overall market could reach $198 billion by 2040 [4][26] - The quantum technology industry is a strategic-level industry, with a quiet competition unfolding between nations. The U.S. leads in total authorized patents, while China holds 42% of global publications in quantum technology in the physical sciences, ranking first. Despite significant research achievements, China still lags behind the U.S. in commercialization. Public investment in quantum technology is expected to increase, reflecting China's determination to catch up [4][37] - The future value of the quantum technology industry chain is immense, with quantum computing expected to enter a large-scale and highly commercialized phase in the next decade. Key areas include quantum computing, quantum communication, and quantum precision measurement, with applications spanning defense, finance, telecommunications, and more [4][15] Summary by Sections 1. Quantum Technology: From "Physical Principles" to "Practical Applications" - Quantum technology utilizes quantum mechanics properties for information processing, sensing, and material manipulation. The core principles include quantum entanglement and superposition, which enable secure communication and parallel computation [10][11] 2. National Competition: China's Transition from "Single Champion" to "Comprehensive Development" - China leads in quantum technology publications and is expected to enhance its research results' commercialization. The country has a significant advantage in quantum communication, while it aims to strengthen its position in quantum computing and other areas [37][42] 3. Market Outlook and Breakthrough Focus - The quantum computing market is projected to grow significantly, with a potential performance breakthrough expected around 2027-2028. The market size is anticipated to rise from approximately $5 billion in 2024 to nearly $220 billion by 2030, driven by industry demand and technological advancements [68][69] 4. Investment and Financing Landscape - China leads in government investment in quantum technology, with $11.18 billion, significantly surpassing the U.S. at $7 billion. However, social financing efficiency in China remains low compared to the U.S., highlighting a need for improved investment strategies [57][52]