瑞达期货集运指数（欧线）期货日报-20260304

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided regarding the industry investment rating 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The futures prices of the container shipping index (European line) mostly rose on Wednesday. The deteriorating situation between the US and Iran has increased shipping operating costs. The short - term supply - demand pattern has shifted from off - season looseness to tight balance, and shipping companies' bargaining power has been strengthened. If the US - Iran situation further deteriorates and the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked, the freight index is expected to continue rising. In the medium term, if the blockade is lifted, the freight will gradually return to the off - season fundamentals but may remain higher than the pre - blockade level due to panic and risk - aversion sentiment. Investors are advised to be cautious and pay attention to the operation rhythm and risk control [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - EC2604, the main contract, hit the daily limit, and the far - month contracts had a decline ranging from - 1% to - 15%. The closing price of the EC main contract was 318.2, and the closing price of the second - main contract was 1909.5. The price of EC2604 - EC2606 spread was +217.50, and the EC2604 - EC2608 spread was - 319.40. The EC contract basis was - 446.10. The main contract's open interest was 38618, a decrease of 5456 [1] Spot Market - The latest SCFIS European line settlement freight rate index was 1463.40, a decrease of 110.11 points from the previous week, a 7.0% week - on - week decline. The SCFI (composite index) decreased by 81.65 week - on - week. The CCFI (composite index) increased by 43.57 week - on - week, and the CCFI (European line) increased by 43.97 week - on - week. The Panama - type freight index decreased by 23.00, and the average charter price of Cape - size ships increased by 1726.00 [1] Industry News - The Middle - East conflict continues to spread. Iran is counter - attacking after suffering intensive air strikes, and Israel has launched a "large - scale strike" on Tehran. The new supreme leader election in Iran is in its final stage. US President Trump made a series of tough statements during his meeting with German Chancellor Merz. He also announced to cut off trade with Spain and provide insurance for maritime crude oil transportation. The first press conference of the Fourth Session of the 14th National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference was held, stating that China's economy has a stable foundation, many advantages, strong resilience, and great potential, and the long - term positive trend remains unchanged [1] Key Events to Watch - France's January industrial output monthly rate on March 5 at 15:45; Eurozone's January retail sales monthly rate on March 5 at 18:00; US initial jobless claims for the week ending February 28 (in ten thousand people) on March 5 at 21:30 [1]