小鹏汽车-W(09868):港股研究|公司点评|小鹏汽车-W(09868.HK):小鹏汽车2026年2月销量点评:月销1.5万辆,第二代VLA即将发布
Changjiang Securities·2026-03-04 23:30

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [4]. Core Insights - In February 2026, the company delivered 15,256 new vehicles, representing a year-on-year decline of 49.9% and a month-on-month decline of 23.8%. The decline in sales is attributed to the impact of the Spring Festival holiday and seasonal factors. However, with the upcoming release of the second-generation VLA and a recovery in the automotive market, sales are expected to rebound [2][6]. - The company is entering a new vehicle cycle with the launch of models such as MONA M03 and P7+. The effects of scale enhancement, cost reduction from platforms and technologies, and the expansion of software profitability models, along with continued growth in international markets, suggest significant future earnings flexibility [2][6]. - The company anticipates delivering between 125,000 to 132,000 vehicles in Q4 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 36.6% to 44.3%, with expected revenue between 21.5 billion to 23 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 33.5% to 42.8% [6]. Summary by Relevant Sections Sales Performance - February 2026 saw a total of 15,256 vehicles delivered, with a cumulative delivery of 35,000 vehicles in January and February, down 42.0% year-on-year. The sales performance is expected to improve in March as the market recovers from seasonal lows [4][6]. New Product Launches - The second-generation VLA is set to be released in March 2026, alongside the launch of the new X9 electric version. The company is also preparing for the mass production of the new generation IRON robot and the delivery of flying cars within the year [6]. Future Outlook - The company is positioned for a strong new vehicle year in 2026, with multiple new models expected to enhance sales cycles. The anticipated revenue for 2025-2026 is projected to be approximately 75.1 billion and 105 billion CNY, corresponding to price-to-sales ratios of 1.5 and 1.1 [6].

XPENG-W-小鹏汽车-W(09868):港股研究|公司点评|小鹏汽车-W(09868.HK):小鹏汽车2026年2月销量点评:月销1.5万辆,第二代VLA即将发布 - Reportify