HTSC·2026-03-05 05:12Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 144.30 [1] Core Views - The company's main business in electric tools shows steady growth, driving profit improvement. Despite a slight miss in net profit expectations due to tariff impacts, the overall revenue and profit growth remain robust, supported by strong performance from flagship brands Milwaukee and RYOBI [5][6] - The company is recognized as a global leader in electric tools and outdoor power equipment (OPE), with significant brand and technological advantages, as well as a strong global production layout and resource allocation capabilities [5][7] - The outlook for 2026 suggests a recovery in demand for electric and garden tools, benefiting from customer restocking and a declining interest rate cycle in North America [5][6] Financial Performance - In 2025, the company achieved revenue of USD 15.26 billion, a year-on-year increase of 4.4%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of USD 1.20 billion, up 6.8%, resulting in a net profit margin of 7.9% [5][6] - The electric tools segment generated revenue of USD 14.448 billion in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.3%, with Milwaukee and RYOBI brands showing strong performance [6][7] - The company’s gross margin improved to 41.2%, up 0.9 percentage points year-on-year, driven by a higher proportion of high-margin products and improved operational efficiency [8] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings forecast for 2026-2028 anticipates net profits of USD 1.414 billion, USD 1.628 billion, and USD 1.859 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS of USD 0.77, USD 0.89, and USD 1.02 [9] - The target price is set at HKD 144.30 based on a 24x PE ratio for 2026, reflecting the company's strong brand and technological advantages, as well as its resilient growth over the years [9]