宝城期货股指期货早报（2026年3月6日）-20260306

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The short - term view of the stock index is mainly range - bound, with a short - term view of "oscillation", a medium - term view of "oscillation", and an intraday view of "bullish". The reference view is "range - bound" [1][5]. - The core logic is that yesterday, each stock index oscillated and rebounded. A - share trading volume reached 2.41 trillion yuan, up from 2.39 trillion yuan the previous day. With the outbreak of geopolitical risks in the Middle East, the willingness of funds to take profits increased, leading to a decline in the stock index from its high. After the negative news was gradually digested by the market, the downward momentum of the stock index weakened significantly. With the convening of the Two Sessions, the expectation of policy - based support for macro - demand and support for technological innovation has increased. The government work report pointed out that in 2026, a more proactive fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy will continue to be implemented, and favorable policies will be deployed in areas such as expanding domestic demand and building a modern industrial system. There is strong policy support for the stock index to rise in the medium and long term [5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Variety Viewpoint Reference - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - For IH2603, the short - term view is "oscillation", the medium - term view is "oscillation", the intraday view is "bullish", and the reference view is "range - bound". The core logic is the implementation of favorable policies during the Two Sessions [1]. 3.2 Main Variety Price Market Driving Logic - Financial Futures Stock Index Sector - The varieties include IF, IH, IC, and IM. The intraday view is "bullish", the medium - term view is "oscillation", and the reference view is "range - bound". The core logic is the rebound of each stock index, changes in trading volume, the impact of geopolitical risks, and the policy expectations during the Two Sessions [5].