负债行为跟踪：两融先降后升，ETF流出可控

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core View of the Report - This week, the global risk - averse sentiment has increased, and global risk assets have declined in resonance. The A - share market has also fallen but shows stronger resilience. The short - term decline does not mean the end of the bull market, and the "Spring Rally" is currently in the third stage [4][13] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Overview - Global Market: Affected by the US - Iran conflict, global stock markets generally declined this week, with South Korean and European stock markets experiencing significant drops. US, Japanese, and German government bond yields rose significantly, while Chinese bond yields slightly declined by 0.7bp. Global commodities saw precious metals fall, and crude oil and natural gas prices rise significantly. The US dollar index rose, and most other currencies depreciated [16] - A - share Market: Except for the dividend index, most broad - based indices fell this week, with the Science and Technology Innovation 50 leading the decline at - 4.9%. The trading volume of broad - based indices decreased, with the daily average trading volume of Wande A - share dropping from over 3 trillion on Monday and Tuesday to below 2.5 trillion from Wednesday to Friday. The weekly average trading volume of Wande A - share increased from 2.4 trillion to 2.6 trillion [22][25] 3.2 Industry Performance - Industry Trends: This week, the media sector led the decline at - 6.38%, while the top five rising industries were petroleum and petrochemicals (9.06%), coal (7.11%), public utilities (5.77%), agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery (4.23%), and banks (1.64%) [32] - Technology Sector: Since February, sectors such as optical communication, high - frequency PCB, high - speed copper connection, solid - state batteries, and liquid cooling have had excess returns. Since March, only optical modules, optical communication, and controllable nuclear fusion have had certain excess returns. From Wednesday to Friday, sectors such as storage, robots, and commercial aerospace rose with reduced trading volume [33][36] 3.3 Fund Flows - ETF Funds: The outflow speed of representative broad - based ETFs has changed little. From January 14th to the end of January, the average daily net outflow of CSI 300 ETF was over 14 billion, and since February, it has slowed to about 1 billion. Since February, the average daily net outflow of SSE 50 ETF has been less than 1 billion, compared with over 5 billion previously. The outflows of SSE Composite, Science and Technology Innovation 50, and CSI 1000 ETFs have slowed down compared with last week, while those of CSI 300, SSE 50, and CSI 500 ETFs have slightly accelerated [40][43] - Leveraged Funds: The proportion of margin trading turnover has decreased from 10.08% to 9.23%, and the margin trading balance has decreased from 2.67 trillion to 2.65 trillion. However, there were improvement signals on Thursday. Most industries have de - leveraged, but transportation, petroleum and petrochemicals, coal, food and beverages, textile and apparel, and non - ferrous metals have increased leverage. Stocks of all market - cap gradients have de - leveraged, with large - cap stocks having a larger de - leveraging amplitude. Hot stocks in transportation, petroleum and petrochemicals, non - ferrous metals, and storage have mostly increased leverage [44][52][56] - Quantitative Funds: Since March, the excess return of CSI 500 quantitative index enhancement has continued to rise, with a median of 1.5%, while that of CSI 1000 quantitative index enhancement has fallen to - 0.01% [67] - Main Funds: From Monday to Wednesday, the main funds in CSI 300, ChiNext, and the Science and Technology Innovation Board had net outflows, with a large outflow on Tuesday. On Thursday, the main funds turned into net inflows, and on Friday, there was a slight net outflow. Overall, the sentiment of the main funds improved after Thursday [74][78] - North - bound Funds: This week, the total trading volume of north - bound funds has increased, with the average daily trading volume rising from 323.8 billion to 344.3 billion, and the proportion of A - share trading volume dropping from 13.3% to 13.0%, but still remaining at a relatively high level above 13%. The median of the weekly performance of the top 50 heavy - holding stocks of north - bound funds has risen from - 0.35% to 0.79%, indicating a possible net inflow of north - bound funds [12][82][86] - South - bound Funds: This week, the average daily trading volume of south - bound funds has increased from 224.4 billion to 230.6 billion, and the proportion has risen from 47.8% to 52.8%. The average daily net purchase amount has decreased from 460 million to - 140 million. The inflow of south - bound funds into the electronics, communication, computer, medicine, and commerce and retail industries has decreased, while the inflow into the banking, media, and non - bank sectors has increased [90][92][93]