East Money Securities·2026-03-08 09:43Investment Rating - The report maintains a "stronger than the market" investment rating for the construction sector, particularly focusing on central enterprises and emerging pillar industries [2]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes a positive outlook from the recent Two Sessions and the "14th Five-Year Plan," suggesting that central enterprises will benefit from accelerated key projects supported by national fiscal policies [20][21]. - It identifies three categories of companies likely to benefit from these policies: 1. Central construction enterprises, which are expected to see improved cash flow and valuation recovery due to local government debt resolution efforts [20]. 2. Companies involved in underground utility tunnel construction and assessment, which will benefit from urban renewal and increased demand for property transactions [21]. 3. Participants in canal construction and high-standard farmland projects, which are expected to accelerate under the new safety and energy production capacity indicators [21]. Summary by Sections Industry Outlook and Investment Recommendations - The report highlights the positive macroeconomic targets for 2026, including an expected economic growth of 4.5%-5% and a budget deficit of approximately 5.89 trillion yuan, which is an increase of 230 billion yuan from the previous year [20]. - It notes that the central government plans to issue 1.3 trillion yuan in long-term special bonds to support key construction projects [20]. Market Performance - The construction decoration index decreased by 0.70%, while the overall A-share index fell by 0.93%, indicating a relative outperformance of the construction sector [19][36]. - Specific sectors such as landscaping engineering (+7.88%) and international engineering (+1.60%) showed better performance compared to others [19]. Company Dynamics - The report tracks significant company movements, including China Energy Construction, which saw a 13.78% increase in stock price, and Huajian Group, which rose by 8.00% [36]. - It also notes that the issuance of special bonds has accelerated, with a cumulative net financing of 832.4 billion yuan as of March 6, 2026, surpassing the levels of the previous two years [26]. Valuation and Investment Lines - The report recommends focusing on three main investment lines for 2026: 1. Central and state-owned enterprises that are positioned for recovery and transformation [30]. 2. Companies in high-demand sectors such as excavation, civil explosives, and geotechnical engineering [31]. 3. New economy sectors including commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, computing power, and AI [31].