Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2026-03-08 15:30Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the engineering machinery sector [2][4]. Core Insights - The engineering machinery industry shows an upward trend in sales, with a total of 17,226 excavators sold in February 2026, a year-on-year decrease of 10.6%. However, the cumulative sales for January-February 2026 reached 35,934 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 13.1% [2][4]. - Exports have significantly exceeded market expectations, with excavator exports in February 2026 increasing by 37.2% year-on-year, and cumulative exports for January-February 2026 growing by 38.8%. Exports accounted for 60.8% of total sales in February, marking a historical high [2][4]. - Domestic sales saw a decline of 42% in February 2026, attributed to the timing of the Spring Festival, rather than a weakening demand. The actual demand remains resilient when adjusted for working days [4]. - The report anticipates a synchronization of domestic and international sales, with a potential surge in domestic demand as the traditional construction season begins in March 2026 [4]. - The report highlights key investment opportunities in the engineering machinery sector, focusing on major manufacturers such as SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, Zoomlion, LiuGong, and Shantui, as well as component suppliers like Hengli Hydraulic, Aidi Precision, Fushite, and Weiman Sealing [4]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In February 2026, a total of 17,226 excavators were sold, down 10.6% year-on-year. Domestic sales were 6,755 units, down 42%, while exports reached 10,471 units, up 37.2% [2][4]. - Cumulative sales for January-February 2026 were 35,934 units, with domestic sales at 15,478 units (down 9.19%) and exports at 20,456 units (up 38.8%) [2][4]. Market Dynamics - The engineering machinery industry is experiencing a recovery trend, with strong export growth and resilient domestic demand expected to drive future performance [4]. - The report notes that the current domestic industry cycle resembles the upward phase of the 2017-2018 renewal cycle, suggesting a robust recovery ahead [4]. Investment Opportunities - The report identifies key companies for investment consideration, including SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, Zoomlion, LiuGong, and Shantui for main machinery, and Hengli Hydraulic, Aidi Precision, Fushite, and Weiman Sealing for components [4].