地缘局势或有变化，关注股指反弹机会

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoint of the Report - Geopolitical situation may change, and attention should be paid to the rebound opportunities of stock index. The current geopolitical situation may ease, which may drive the price rebound of other assets, but one should remain vigilant as there are still "aftershock" risks [2][3] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Analysis - Macroeconomic Indicators: In China, the CPI in February increased by 1.3% year - on - year, the highest in nearly three years, and the core CPI excluding food and energy prices increased by 1.8% year - on - year. The national PPI decreased by 0.9% year - on - year, with the decline narrowing for three consecutive months. Overseas, Trump said the war between the US and Iran might end soon [2] - Stock Market Performance: A - share market: The three major A - share indexes opened lower and closed higher. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.67% to close at 4096.6 points, and the ChiNext Index fell 0.64%. Most sector indexes declined, with coal, computer, and power equipment industries leading the gains, and communication, transportation, beauty care, and national defense and military industries falling more than 2%. The market turnover on that day was about 2.7 trillion yuan. Overseas: The three major US stock indexes all closed higher, with the Nasdaq rising 1.38% to 22695.95 points [2] - Futures Market: In the futures market, the basis of all IC and IM contracts rebounded. The trading volume and open interest of stock index futures increased simultaneously [2] 3.2 Strategy - The seesaw effect between crude oil and other assets is prominent recently. The current geopolitical situation may ease, which may drive the price rebound of other assets, but one should remain vigilant as there are still "aftershock" risks [3] 3.3 Charts and Tables - Macroeconomic Charts: Include the relationship between the US dollar index and A - share trends, the US Treasury yield and A - share trends, the RMB exchange rate and A - share trends, and the US Treasury yield and A - share style trends [6][10][8] - Spot Market Tracking Charts: The daily performance of major domestic stock indexes on March 9, 2026, shows that all indexes declined to varying degrees. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.67%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.74%, the ChiNext Index fell 0.64%, etc. Also include the trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets and the margin trading balance [13][14] - Stock Index Futures Tracking Charts: - Open Interest and Trading Volume: The open interest and trading volume of IF, IH, IC, and IM all increased. For example, the open interest of IF was 147,766, an increase of 53,708, and the trading volume was 290,004, an increase of 18,910 [17] - Basis: The basis of all contracts of IC and IM rebounded. For example, the basis of the current - month contract of IF was - 16.26, a decrease of 1.82 [34] - Inter - period Spread: The inter - period spreads of different contracts of IF, IH, IC, and IM are provided, including the spread between the next - month and current - month contracts, the next - quarter and current - month contracts, etc. [39][41]