资讯早间报:隔夜夜盘市场走势-20260312
Guan Tong Qi Huo·2026-03-12 02:48
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report presents the overnight performance of the night - market, important news, and the situation of the financial market, all affected by factors such as the Middle - East geopolitical conflict, supply and demand changes, and policy adjustments [5][9][33]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Overnight Night - Market Market Trends - International precious metal futures generally closed down, with COMEX gold futures down 1.11% at $5183.90 per ounce and COMEX silver futures down 4.11% at $85.91 per ounce. Multiple factors including Fed rate - cut expectation cooling, inflation logic change, short - term profit - taking, and dollar strengthening pressured the precious metal trend [5]. - US oil and Brent oil futures rose, with US oil up 5.94% at $88.41 per barrel and Brent oil up 6.64% at $93.63 per barrel. The Middle - East geopolitical conflict disrupted oil tanker transportation, and the pre - digested IEA strategic oil reserve release had limited impact on suppressing oil prices [5]. - Most London base metals fell, with LME aluminum and nickel rising, and lead, copper, zinc, and tin falling [5]. - As of 23:00, most domestic futures contracts rose, with PX up over 13%, PTA up over 11%, and many other products showing significant increases [7]. Important News Macroeconomic News - Maersk has 10 ships trapped in the Persian Gulf, and over 100 container ships are trapped in the Gulf area. It will take at least one to ten days to resume normal operations if a cease - fire is achieved [9]. - In February, China's auto production and sales decreased both month - on - month and year - on - year. From January to February, the decline was also significant [9]. - Three ships were attacked in the Strait of Hormuz [10]. - Trump said the war with Iran would "soon" end [11]. - The US February unadjusted CPI and core CPI annual rates met market expectations and were flat compared to the previous month [12]. Energy and Chemical Futures - The IEA will provide 4 billion barrels of oil from emergency reserves. Japan and Germany will release their strategic oil reserves [15]. - China's methanol port inventory decreased. The total inventory was 131.28 million tons as of March 11, 2026, a decrease of 13.07 million tons from the previous period [15]. - UAE's Fujairah port's refined oil inventory decreased by 21.5% week - on - week [15]. - Saudi Aramco asked Asian buyers for two sets of loading plans for April. The loading volume at Yanbu increased in March [16]. - OPEC maintained its global supply, demand, and economic forecasts [16]. - The EIA report showed that the commercial crude oil inventory (excluding strategic reserves) increased by 382.4 million barrels to 443 million barrels in the week of March 6, a 0.87% increase [17]. - The US will release 1.72 billion barrels of strategic oil reserves starting next week [19]. Metal Futures - Workers at Glencore's Australian copper smelter threatened to strike due to a salary negotiation breakdown [21]. - The aluminum premium for Japanese buyers reached an 11 - year high due to supply tightening in the Middle - East [21]. - The average price of polysilicon decreased, and the industry's average operating rate dropped to 35.5% [21]. - China's refined nickel production in February decreased month - on - month but increased year - on - year [21]. - The cumulative production of cathode copper by 23 sample enterprises from January to February increased year - on - year [22]. Black - Series Futures - HeSteel's 75B ferrosilicon tender quantity decreased in March [25]. - A coal mine in Henan was ordered to suspend production for rectification [25]. - Some iron ore cargo ships changed their routes to China due to the Strait of Hormuz situation [25]. Agricultural Product Futures - Malaysia's palm oil inventory in March may decrease by 8% month - on - month, and prices may rise if the Middle - East conflict continues [27]. - Brazil's soybean exports in March are expected to reach 1647 million tons, possibly exceeding last year's record [27]. - The trading margin and daily limit of apple futures contracts 2604 and 2605 will be adjusted from March 16 [28]. - Malaysia's palm oil production from March 1 - 10 increased month - on - month [30]. - Argentine farmers sold 59.48 million tons of soybeans in the week of March 4 [31]. - Soybean harvesting in Brazil's Parana state is in full swing [31]. Financial Market Finance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.25%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.78%, and the ChiNext Index rose 1.31%. The market turnover was 2.53 trillion yuan. New energy and chemical stocks performed well, while military and rare metal stocks declined [33]. - Hong Kong stocks opened higher and closed lower. Southbound funds had a net purchase of over HK$3.4 billion, but Tencent was net sold over HK$2.4 billion [33]. - Many Chinese investment banks withdrew from the role of overall coordinators for listed companies in the Hong Kong IPO market [33]. - The popularity of "Electronic Lobster" OpenClaw has shifted the focus of the AI industry chain, bringing new investment opportunities [34]. Industry - The National Supercomputing Internet will provide free Tokens to OpenClaw users and announced a discounted Token purchase price [35]. - The semiconductor market is expected to reach a scale of one trillion US dollars in 2026, and China's share in mainstream semiconductor manufacturing capacity will reach 42% by 2028 [35]. - China's auto sales in February decreased year - on - year, but new energy vehicle exports increased [35]. - The Middle - East war led to an oil price surge, and Asian airlines raised ticket prices [35]. Overseas - G7 leaders discussed the Middle - East situation and economic impact. They welcomed the IEA's decision to release strategic oil reserves and emphasized the importance of freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz [36]. - Iran's President reiterated the commitment to regional peace and proposed conditions for ending the war [38]. - Iran's new supreme leader was reported to be injured [38]. - The Trump administration plans to conduct trade investigations to impose new tariffs [38]. - The US government budget deficit in February was $308 billion, and the deficit from the beginning of the fiscal year to February was $1.004 trillion, a 12% decrease from the same period last year [39]. - The US February inflation data met expectations, but the impact of the Iran situation on oil prices was not reflected [39]. - The average US gasoline price reached a 21 - month high [39]. - The energy price surge due to the Iran war has reshaped the European Central Bank's policy expectations [40]. International Stock Markets - US stocks closed mixed. The Dow fell 0.61%, the S&P 500 fell 0.08%, and the Nasdaq rose 0.08%. The market was concerned about the Middle - East war and oil prices [41]. - European stocks closed down due to inflation concerns and hawkish remarks from the European Central Bank [41]. - Most Asia - Pacific stocks rose, with the exception of the Indian SENSEX30 index [42]. Commodities - International precious metal futures generally closed down, with gold and silver futures falling [43]. - US and Brent oil futures rose due to the Middle - East conflict [45]. - Most London base metals fell, with aluminum and nickel rising [45]. - OPEC maintained its global oil demand growth rate forecasts [45]. - Fitch raised its short - term oil price expectations [46]. - An Iranian military spokesman warned of $200 - per - barrel oil prices [46]. - Global physical gold ETFs had an inflow of about $5.3 billion in February, and the total position reached a record high [46]. - Qatar's largest LNG export factory has been shut down for five days [46]. Bonds - The domestic bond market was weak, with most major interest - rate bond yields rising slightly. The Hong Kong government plans to increase the borrowing limit for infrastructure bonds [48][49]. - US bond yields rose across the board [49]. Foreign Exchange - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar rose, and the RMB central parity rate against the US dollar reached a new high since April 25, 2023. The US dollar index rose, and non - US currencies showed different trends [50]. Scheduled Events - There are various events scheduled for March 12, including central bank operations, meetings, and conferences, as well as corporate earnings reports [53].
资讯早间报:隔夜夜盘市场走势-20260312 - Reportify