碳酸锂数据日报-20260312

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The lithium carbonate market has both supply and demand increasing. Downstream continuous restocking supports prices. Under the pressure of risk aversion, the lithium carbonate price may fluctuate in the short term [3]. - The new energy vehicle market in January 2026 was operating steadily, with production and sales of 1.041 million and 945,000 vehicles respectively, a year - on - year increase of 2.5% and 1.6% respectively. In January, new energy vehicle exports maintained high - speed growth, with 302,000 vehicles exported, a year - on - year doubling [3]. - Affected by the escalation of the US - Iran situation, the risk - aversion sentiment of funds has increased. Coupled with the large increase in lithium carbonate prices in the early stage, there is a need for funds to take profits in the short term, which has led to a decline in lithium carbonate prices [3]. 3. Summary According to the Catalog Lithium Compounds - SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate has an average price of 159,000 yuan with an increase of 500 yuan; SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate has an average price of 155,750 yuan with an increase of 500 yuan [1]. - For lithium carbonate futures contracts, the closing price of lithium carbonate 2603 is 155,000 yuan with a decline of 5.5%; lithium carbonate 2604 is 156,000 yuan with a decline of 4.12%; lithium carbonate 2605 is 155,040 yuan with a decline of 5.14%; lithium carbonate 2606 is 154,640 yuan with a decline of 5.64%; lithium carbonate 2607 is 154,880 yuan with a decline of 5.03% [1]. Lithium Ore - The average price of lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China) (Li20: 5.5% - 6%) is 2,215 yuan with an increase of 2 yuan [1]. - The average price of lithium mica (Li20: 1.5% - 2.0%) is 3,440 yuan with a decrease of 40 yuan; lithium mica (Li20: 2.0% - 2.5%) is 5,140 yuan with a decrease of 60 yuan; phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (Li20: 6% - 7%) is 13,175 yuan; phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (Li20: 7% - 8%) is 14,350 yuan [2]. Cathode Materials - The average price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) is 55,720 yuan with an increase of 125 yuan; the average price of ternary material 811 (polycrystalline/power type) is 212,250 yuan with an increase of 750 yuan; the average price of ternary material 523 (single - crystal/power type) is 184,500 yuan with an increase of 1,250 yuan; the average price of ternary material 613 (single - crystal/power type) is 186,000 yuan with an increase of 1,250 yuan [2]. Price Differences - The price difference between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 3,250 yuan with no change; the price difference between battery - grade lithium carbonate and the main contract is 3,960 yuan with an increase of 8,460 yuan; the price difference between the near - month and the first - continuous contract is 960 yuan with an increase of 1,840 yuan; the price difference between the near - month and the second - continuous contract is 1,360 yuan with an increase of 2,000 yuan [2]. Inventory - The total inventory (weekly, tons) is 99,373 tons with a decrease of 720 - 906 tons; the inventory of smelters (weekly, tons) is 17,476 tons; the inventory of downstream (weekly, tons) is 43,757 tons with an increase of 3,736 tons; the inventory of others (weekly, tons) is 38,140 tons with a decrease of 3,550 tons; the registered warehouse receipts (daily, tons) is 36,739 tons with a decrease of 280 tons [2]. Profit Estimation - The cash cost of purchasing lithium spodumene concentrate is 157,782 yuan, and the profit is - 855 yuan; the cash cost of purchasing lithium mica concentrate is 153,505 yuan, and the profit is 21 yuan [3].