蔚来-SW(09866):Q4季度扭亏为盈、新车周期仍强势
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2026-03-12 11:13

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Insights - The company achieved profitability in Q4 2025, delivering 125,000 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 71.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 43.3% [1] - Revenue for Q4 2025 reached 34.65 billion yuan, up 75.9% year-on-year and 59% quarter-on-quarter, driven by strong sales and increased average selling prices [1] - The company expects to deliver 80,000 to 83,000 vehicles in Q1 2026, representing a year-on-year growth of 90% to 97% [2] - The company anticipates a 40% to 50% year-on-year increase in sales for the full year 2026, targeting total sales of 460,000 to 490,000 vehicles [2] - The new ES8 model has shown strong demand, achieving a gross margin close to 25% [3] - The company plans to launch the flagship SUV ES9 in April 2026 and upgrade several existing models [3] - The company’s chip subsidiary, Anhui Shenji, has a valuation nearing 10 billion yuan, with successful development of a second chip [4] Financial Summary - Q4 2025 gross margin improved to 17.5%, a significant increase of 5.8 percentage points year-on-year and 3.7 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company recorded a net profit of 120 million yuan in Q4 2025, with a non-GAAP net profit of 730 million yuan, marking its first quarterly profit [1] - For 2026, the company expects non-GAAP operating profit and aims to maintain R&D expenses at approximately 20 to 25 billion yuan per quarter [2] - Projected revenues for 2026 are expected to reach 124.2 billion yuan, with a non-GAAP net profit forecast of 463 million yuan [5]

NIO-蔚来-SW(09866):Q4季度扭亏为盈、新车周期仍强势 - Reportify