股指期货将偏弱震荡原油、燃料油、聚丙烯、苯乙烯、PX、PVC、甲醇期货将震荡偏强黄金、白银期货将偏弱震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2026-03-13 05:48
- Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided in the given text. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Through macro - fundamental and technical analysis, the report predicts the trend, resistance, and support levels of various futures contracts on March 13, 2026, and the trend of continuous contracts in March 2026 [2][4]. - It also provides information on macro - news, trading tips, and commodity futures - related information that may affect the futures market [5][9]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Forecast 3.1.1 March 13, 2026 Forecast - Stock Index Futures: Expected to be weakly volatile. For example, IF2603 has resistance at 4659 and 4687 points, and support at 4627 and 4605 points [16]. - Precious Metals Futures: Gold and silver futures are expected to be weakly volatile. AU2604 has resistance at 1152.0 and 1162.0 yuan/gram, support at 1132.0 and 1129.2 yuan/gram; AG2606 has resistance at 22400 and 22625 yuan/kilogram, support at 21547 and 21100 yuan/kilogram [2][33]. - Base Metals Futures: Copper is expected to fluctuate and consolidate; aluminum, nickel, and others are expected to be strongly volatile [2][41]. - Energy Futures: Crude oil, fuel oil, etc. are expected to be strongly volatile [2][85]. - Agricultural Futures: Some agricultural products like soybean meal and palm oil are expected to be strongly volatile [2][108]. 3.1.2 March 2026 Forecast for Continuous Contracts - Stock Index Futures: IF, IH, IC, and IM continuous contracts are expected to be weakly and widely volatile [4]. - Precious Metals Futures: Gold and silver continuous contracts are expected to have wide - range fluctuations [4]. - Base Metals Futures: Copper continuous contracts are expected to be weakly volatile; aluminum continuous contracts are expected to be strongly volatile [4][41]. - Energy Futures: Crude oil and fuel oil continuous contracts are expected to be strongly volatile [4][86]. 3.2 Macro - news and Trading Tips - The Fourth Session of the 14th National People's Congress closed in Beijing on March 12, 2026, approving a series of reports and passing relevant laws [5]. - The central bank will continue to implement a moderately loose monetary policy [5]. - The Ministry of Justice will focus on optimizing the business environment and accelerating legislation in certain fields [5]. - The U.S. will launch trade investigations on 16 major trading partners, which may lead to new tariffs [6]. - Iran's statements on revenge and the situation in the Strait of Hormuz have affected the international oil price [7]. 3.3 Commodity Futures - related Information - On March 12, 2026, U.S. and Brent crude oil futures rose significantly, while international precious metals futures generally fell [9]. - London base metals showed mixed trends on March 12, 2026 [10]. - Fitch raised the target prices of 14 metals and minerals in 2026 [10]. - The IEA significantly lowered the global crude oil supply and demand growth forecasts for this year [10]. - Ping An Bank will gradually close its agency business of personal precious metals trading on the Shanghai Gold Exchange [10].