海外政策周聚焦：伊朗局势悬而未决，如何看

Group 1: Current Situation in Iran - The military action initiated by the US and Israel against Iran on February 28 has continued for nearly two weeks, with no resolution in sight[1] - Iran has partially blocked the Strait of Hormuz, preventing access for countries involved in the attack, leading to sustained high oil prices[1] - Iran's new Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, has vowed to continue strategic measures, including the blockade, and demands compensation from adversaries[1] Group 2: Economic Impact - Japan relies on the Middle East for 90% of its oil imports; a prolonged blockade could reduce its GDP by 3%[2] - Approximately 50% of India's crude oil imports pass through the Strait of Hormuz, making it vulnerable to disruptions[2] - The US is less affected due to its current self-sufficiency in oil production, unlike during previous conflicts[2] Group 3: Financial Strain on the US Government - The US military actions against Iran have already cost approximately $11 billion in the first six days, with estimates suggesting total costs could reach at least $50 billion[17] - The federal budget deficit for the first five months of the 2026 fiscal year has exceeded $1 trillion, indicating significant financial pressure[31] - February's Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 2.4% year-on-year, with rising oil prices likely to further increase inflation in the coming months[32]