期货技术分析周报:2026年第11周-20260315
Dong Zheng Qi Huo·2026-03-15 06:30
- Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not provide an overall industry investment rating [1][2] 2. Core Viewpoints - Based on weekly technical indicator signals, different sectors of commodity and financial futures show various trends. For commodity futures, precious metals, non - ferrous metals, black metals, energy, chemicals, and agricultural products have different outlooks; for financial futures, stock index futures and treasury bond futures also present diverse trends [1][2] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1有色及贵金属板块 - Precious metals: Gold shows a weekly oscillation, while silver shows a bearish signal. Non - ferrous metals: Alumina shows a bullish signal, while lead, tin, and zinc show bearish signals, and the rest of the varieties are mainly oscillating [9][10] - Shanghai Aluminum: In the short - term, it is mainly oscillating. Monthly line is in a bullish arrangement, weekly line shows a bullish arrangement but with increased short - term fluctuations, and daily line has a risk of callback [13] 3.2黑色及航运板块 - Black metals: Rebar, hot - rolled coil, iron ore, coking coal, and coke show bullish signals, and the rest of the varieties are mainly oscillating; European container shipping shows an oscillating trend [18][19] - Rebar: In the short - term, focus on price repair. It is expected to oscillate and repair next week, and pay attention to the resistance range of 3130 - 3150 [21] 3.3能源及化工板块 - Energy: Crude oil, low - sulfur fuel oil, and asphalt show bullish signals, while fuel oil and LPG are mainly oscillating. Chemicals: Polypropylene, caustic soda, methanol, propylene, pure benzene, glass, and soda ash show bullish signals, and pulp shows a bearish signal, and the rest of the varieties are mainly oscillating [27][28] - PTA: In the short - term, it is mainly oscillating and rising. However, be vigilant against the risk of long - position funds taking profits and short - position entry [30] 3.4农产品板块 - Agricultural products: Soybean meal, rapeseed meal, sugar, peanuts, soybeans, rapeseed oil, and eggs show bullish signals, and logs show a bearish signal, and the rest of the varieties are mainly oscillating [36][37] - Corn: It is mainly oscillating, and pay attention to the risk of callback within the week. There is still an upward expectation in the medium - term, but be vigilant against the short - term callback risk [41] 3.5股指期货板块 - Stock index futures: CSI 500 futures and CSI 1000 futures show oscillating signals, while SSE 50 futures and CSI 300 futures show bearish signals [47][48] - IC CSI 500 futures: In the short - term, it is mainly oscillating. The medium - term bullish market is not over, but the short - term price is mainly oscillating and adjusting [51] - IF CSI 300 futures: There is still a certain risk of callback in the short - term [54] 3.6国债期货板块 - Treasury bond futures: 5 - year treasury bond futures show an oscillating trend, while 2 - year, 10 - year, and 30 - year treasury bond futures show bearish signals [60][61] - T 10 - year treasury bond futures: In the short - term, it is mainly oscillating and weak [64] - TS 2 - year treasury bond futures: In the short - term, it is mainly oscillating [66]