East Money Securities·2026-03-15 13:44Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for major construction stocks, emphasizing low-level new infrastructure and global valuation adjustments [1][3]. Core Insights - The two sessions have positively indicated growth stabilization and new productivity, with a forecast of robust order reserves for construction state-owned enterprises (SOEs) in 2026, leading to performance recovery and asset value reassessment [2][20]. - The ongoing conflict in the Middle East is expected to enhance the valuation of SOEs through increased infrastructure cooperation with Arab countries and recognition of the stability of the Chinese supply chain [2][23]. - The report highlights the potential for new productivity projects and asset reassessment, particularly in sectors like AI computing and electronic materials [2][25]. Summary by Sections Industry Outlook and Investment Recommendations - The construction and decoration index rose by 4.12%, outperforming the overall A-share index, with significant gains in municipal engineering and chemical engineering sectors [16]. - The valuation of eight major construction SOEs is at historical lows, with a PE ratio of 7.20x and a PB ratio of 0.56x, indicating potential for valuation recovery [17][18]. Market Performance - As of March 13, 2026, the issuance of special bonds has accelerated, with a total of 9,201 billion yuan issued, surpassing the levels of the past two years [8][20]. Key Company Dynamics - China State Construction reported new contracts worth 41,510 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 1.7% [21]. - China Railway Construction signed new contracts totaling 30,765 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1.3% [21]. - China Communications Construction Company achieved new contracts of 18,812 billion yuan, with a slight year-on-year increase of 0.1% [21]. Valuation Status - The report indicates that the PB ratio of construction SOEs is 0.86x compared to the banking sector and 0.37x compared to the overall Shanghai Composite Index, both at historical low percentiles [17][18]. Future Industry Trends - The report suggests that the focus on new infrastructure and emerging industries will lead to a reassessment of SOE valuations, particularly in sectors like integrated circuits, aerospace, and low-altitude economy [25][26].