Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2026-03-15 13:43Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for companies in the textile and apparel industry, particularly highlighting the potential for growth in upstream and sports segments [16][20]. Core Insights - The textile and apparel sector has shown weaker performance compared to the market, with the SW textile and apparel index declining by 0.6% from March 9 to March 13, 2026, underperforming the SW All A index by 0.1 percentage points [3][4]. - Upstream raw material prices are rising, which is expected to improve the operational performance of upstream companies. Cotton prices increased by 1.1% to 16,753 RMB/ton, while Australian wool prices rose by 2.8% to 1,272 USD/ton [10][42]. - The report emphasizes the long-term growth potential of the sports apparel sector, driven by national policies promoting sports and health, as highlighted during the recent national congress [12]. Summary by Sections Textile Sector - The textile upstream is expected to benefit from rising raw material prices, with cotton and wool prices showing significant increases. This is anticipated to enhance the operational performance of upstream companies [10][11]. - Companies like Huayi Group reported a revenue increase of 4.1% to 249.8 billion RMB, but a net profit decline of 16.5% due to production capacity adjustments [11][14]. - Jian Sheng Group's performance exceeded expectations with a 51% increase in non-net profit for Q4 2025, driven by its seamless business segment [18][19]. Apparel Sector - The report notes a strong focus on sports during the national congress, indicating a favorable environment for sports apparel companies. Brands such as Li Ning and Anta are recommended for investment [12][13]. - The women's apparel segment is expected to rebound, with companies like Ge Li Si and Xin He reporting significant profit improvements [13]. - The report suggests monitoring the performance of major brands as they release annual reports, anticipating a divergence in performance among brands [12]. Industry Data - The total retail sales of consumer goods in China reached 50.1 trillion RMB in 2025, growing by 3.7% year-on-year, with the apparel and textile category growing by 3.2% [31]. - Exports of textiles and apparel saw a significant increase, with February 2026 exports amounting to 22.44 billion USD, a year-on-year increase of 73.4% [35][36]. - The report highlights the ongoing increase in cotton and wool prices, which are expected to support the profitability of textile manufacturers [40][42].