向“新”而行,以“质”图强,筑“基”蓄远
Ping An Securities·2026-03-15 13:50

Core Insights - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes increased contributions from technology, green initiatives, and social welfare compared to the "14th Five-Year Plan" [5][6] - Key industrial directions include a focus on technological innovation, digital intelligence, green and low-carbon initiatives, and expanding domestic demand [5][6] - The plan aims to enhance the modern industrial system, promote new industries, and deepen the integration of technology and industry [5][6] Summary by Sections Economic Development Goals - GDP growth is targeted to remain within a reasonable range, with an average annual growth rate of 5.0% [6] - Labor productivity is expected to grow at 6.1%, exceeding GDP growth [6] - Urbanization rate is projected to reach 71% by 2025 [6] Innovation and Technology - R&D expenditure is expected to grow by over 7%, with a target of more than 22 high-value invention patents per 10,000 people [6] - The digital economy's core industries are projected to account for 12.5% of GDP [6] Social Welfare - The urban unemployment rate is targeted to be below 5.5% [6] - The number of registered nurses per 1,000 people is expected to increase to 5.1 [6] - The proportion of nursing beds in elderly care institutions is set to reach 73% [6] Green and Low-Carbon Initiatives - Carbon emissions per unit of GDP are expected to decrease by 17% [6] - The share of non-fossil energy in total energy consumption is targeted to reach 25% [6] Industrial Upgrading - The plan emphasizes the development of high-end manufacturing and strategic materials, with a focus on enhancing competitiveness in rare metals and advanced materials [5][11] - New industries such as robotics, smart driving, and innovative solar batteries are highlighted for growth [5][11] Consumption Upgrade - The plan aims to enhance service consumption and promote new consumption patterns, including health and leisure sectors [9][18] - It encourages the development of high-end consumer goods and supports the transformation of old housing to meet modern needs [9][18] Market Impact - The transition from old to new growth drivers is expected to create long-term investment opportunities in sectors such as TMT, machinery, and renewable energy [9][11] - The focus on technological innovation and industrial safety is likely to benefit advanced manufacturing sectors [9][11]

向“新”而行,以“质”图强,筑“基”蓄远 - Reportify