量化择时周报:行业涨跌趋势性指标触底回升,市场情绪得分小幅上行-20260315
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2026-03-15 14:22

Group 1 - Market sentiment has improved slightly, with the sentiment index rising to 1.55 as of March 13, up from 1.40 the previous week, indicating a neutral model perspective despite ongoing external political risks [7][11]. - The industry trend indicators have rebounded sharply, suggesting a reduction in divergence among funds' industry views, with increased consistency in market sector performance [27][43]. - The average daily trading volume for the entire A-share market decreased by 18.33% week-on-week, with an average daily turnover of 16,158.69 billion yuan, indicating a decline in market activity [17][20]. Group 2 - The short-term scores for banks have increased significantly, with coal and public utilities leading the short-term score rankings at 98.31, indicating strong upward trends in these sectors [43][44]. - The highest average crowding levels are observed in public utilities, basic chemicals, construction decoration, environmental protection, and electric equipment, while the lowest are in commercial retail, textiles, social services, food and beverage, and real estate [46][48]. - The correlation between industry crowding and weekly price changes is relatively low at 0.40, suggesting that sectors with high crowding, such as public utilities and coal, may experience significant price movements, while sectors with low crowding, like defense and retail, may offer better long-term value [49].

量化择时周报:行业涨跌趋势性指标触底回升,市场情绪得分小幅上行-20260315 - Reportify