本周热点前瞻2026-03-16

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The report focuses on the key events and data releases in the current week and their potential impacts on the futures market. It suggests paying attention to factors such as domestic macro - policy changes, geopolitical situations, and central bank decisions [3]. 3. Summary by Directory This Week's Key Focus - On March 16 at 09:30, the National Bureau of Statistics will release the February report on housing sales prices in 70 large and medium - sized cities, and its impact on relevant futures prices should be noted [2][4]. - At 10:00 on March 16, the State Council Information Office will hold a press conference on the national economic operation, announcing macro - economic data for January - February 2026. Forecasts include a 2.1% year - on - year decline in cumulative urban fixed - asset investment (3.8% decline in 2025), a 5.0% year - on - year increase in industrial added value of large - scale industries (5.2% in December 2025), a 2.5% year - on - year increase in total retail sales of consumer goods (0.9% in December 2025), and an expected survey unemployment rate of 5.1%. Different data trends will have various impacts on commodity, stock index, and treasury bond futures [2][5]. - From March 14 to 17, Vice - Premier He Lifeng will lead a delegation to France for economic and trade consultations with the US. The results and their impact on relevant futures prices should be monitored [2][8]. - At 21:15 on March 16, the Fed will release US industrial output for February, with an expected monthly rate of 0.2% (0.7% previously). A slight decrease may slightly suppress the rise of non - ferrous metal futures prices but slightly benefit gold and silver futures prices [9]. - On March 17 at 11:30, the Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its interest rate decision, with an expected 25 - basis - point increase to 4.10%. At 12:30, the RBA Governor will hold a press conference [10]. - At 22:00 on March 17, the National Association of Realtors will release the seasonally adjusted pending home sales index for February in the US, with an expected monthly rate of - 1% (- 0.8% previously) [11]. - At 18:00 on March 18, Eurostat will release the final CPI data for February in the Eurozone. Expected figures include a 1.9% un - seasonally adjusted annual rate (initial value 1.9%, final value in January 1.7%), a 0.7% monthly rate (initial value 0.7%, final value in January - 0.6%), and a 2.3% un - seasonally adjusted annual rate for core CPI (initial value 2.3%, final value in January 2.1%) [12]. - At 20:30 on March 18, the US Bureau of Labor will release the PPI for February. Expected monthly rates are 0.2% for PPI (0.5% previously) and 0.3% for core PPI (0.8% previously). The annual rates in January were 2.9% for PPI and 3.6% for core PPI [13]. - At 21:45 on March 18, the Bank of Canada will announce its interest rate decision, with an expected overnight lending rate of 2.25% remaining unchanged. At 22:30, the Bank of Canada Governor and Deputy Governor will hold a press conference [14]. - At 22:00 on March 18, the US Department of Commerce will release the monthly rate of factory orders for January, with a previous value of - 0.7% [15]. - At 22:30 on March 18, the EIA will release the change in crude oil inventories for the week ending March 13. A continued increase will suppress the rise of crude oil and related commodity futures prices [16]. - At 02:00 on March 19, the Fed FOMC will announce its interest rate decision and economic outlook summary, with an expected unchanged federal funds rate. At 02:30, Fed Chair Powell will hold a press conference. Attention should be paid to the Fed's monetary policy statement and Powell's speech and their impact on the futures market [17]. - At 11:00 on March 19, the Bank of Japan will announce its interest rate decision, with an expected unchanged policy benchmark rate of 0.75%. At 14:30, the Bank of Japan Governor will hold a press conference [18]. - At 16:30 on March 19, the Swiss National Bank will announce its interest rate decision, with an expected unchanged first - quarter policy rate of 0% [19]. - At 20:00 on March 19, the Bank of England will announce its interest rate decision and meeting minutes, with an expected unchanged benchmark rate of 3.75% [20]. - At 20:30 on March 19, the US Department of Labor will release the number of initial jobless claims for the week ending March 14, with an expected 215,000 (213,000 previously). A slight increase may slightly benefit gold and silver futures prices and slightly suppress non - ferrous metal and crude oil futures prices [21]. - At 21:15 on March 19, the European Central Bank will announce its interest rate decision, with an expected unchanged benchmark rate. The main refinancing rate will remain at 2.15%, the deposit facility rate at 2.00%, and the marginal lending rate at 2.40%. At 21:45, ECB President Lagarde will hold a press conference [22]. - In March 19, the US Department of Commerce will release the seasonally adjusted new home sales data for January. The expected annualized total is 725,000 units (745,000 previously), and the expected monthly rate is - 2.7% (- 1.7% previously) [23]. - At 04:30 on March 20, the Fed will release its balance sheet as of March 18, with a previous value of $6.65 trillion [24]. - At 09:00 on March 20, the People's Bank of China will authorize the National Inter - bank Funding Center to announce the LPR for March 2026. The expected 1 - year LPR is 3.00% and the 5 - year - plus LPR is 3.50%, both unchanged from the previous values. This is expected to have a neutral impact on commodity, stock index, and treasury bond futures [25].