2026年1-2月宏观经济数据

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoint In January - February 2026, major economic indicators showed a significant rebound, and the national economy got off to a good start. However, the impact of changes in the external environment has deepened, geopolitical risks have continued to rise, and there are still many old problems and new challenges in domestic economic development and transformation, with some enterprises facing operational difficulties [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Industrial Production - From January - February, the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 6.3% year - on - year, 1.1 percentage points faster than in December of the previous year. Equipment manufacturing and high - tech manufacturing had good growth momentum, with their added values increasing by 9.3% and 13.1% respectively, 3.0 and 6.8 percentage points faster than the overall industrial added value. The output of products such as 3D printing equipment, lithium - ion batteries, and industrial robots increased significantly [3]. - In February, the manufacturing PMI was 49.0%, and the enterprise production and operation activity expectation index was 53.2%, up 0.6 percentage points from the previous month [3]. Service Industry - From January - February, the national service industry production index increased by 5.2% year - on - year, 0.2 percentage points faster than in December of the previous year. Industries such as information transmission, software and information technology services, leasing and business services, and finance had relatively fast growth [4]. - In February, the service industry business activity index was 49.7%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month; the service industry business activity expectation index was 55.8%. Industries such as accommodation, catering, and culture, sports and entertainment were in a high - level boom range [4]. Market Sales - From January - February, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 8607.9 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 2.8%, 1.9 percentage points faster than in December of the previous year. Service retail sales increased by 5.6% year - on - year, 0.1 percentage points faster than the whole of the previous year. Online retail sales of goods and services reached 3254.6 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 9.2% [5]. Fixed - Asset Investment - From January - February, national fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) was 5272.1 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 1.8%, compared with a decline of 3.8% for the whole of the previous year. Infrastructure investment increased by 11.4% year - on - year, while real estate development investment decreased by 11.1% [6]. Goods Import and Export - From January - February, the total volume of goods import and export was 7732.1 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 18.3%, 13.4 percentage points faster than in December of the previous year. Exports were 4617.8 billion yuan, an increase of 19.2%; imports were 3114.3 billion yuan, an increase of 17.1% [7]. Employment - From January - February, the average urban surveyed unemployment rate was 5.3%, the same as the same period of the previous year. In February, the urban surveyed unemployment rate was 5.3%, up 0.1 percentage points from the previous month [8]. Price - From January - February, the national consumer price index (CPI) increased by 0.8% year - on - year. The industrial producer price index (PPI) decreased by 1.2% year - on - year, with the decline narrowing [9].