格林大华期货早盘提示：贵金属-20260318

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - The short - term market uncertainty is high, and investors are advised to control positions and prevent risks [2] - The Middle East conflict continues, with significant differences between the US and Iran and no intention to cease fire. The situation in Iran should be continuously monitored [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Content Market Quotes - COMEX gold futures rose 0.18% to $5011.30 per ounce, COMEX silver futures fell 1.51% to $79.46 per ounce. Shanghai gold's main contract fell 0.16% to 1114.36 yuan per gram, and Shanghai silver's main contract fell 1.85% to 20088 yuan per kilogram [1] - ICE Brent crude oil closed up 3.28% at $103.50 per barrel on Tuesday. The US dollar index rose first and then fell, closing down 0.25% at 99.56. The 10 - year US Treasury yield fell about 2 basis points to 4.20% [1] Important Information - On March 17, the holdings of the world's largest gold ETF - SPDR Gold Trust decreased by 1.144 tons to 1069.564 tons, and the holdings of the world's largest silver ETF - iShares Silver Trust increased by 33.8 tons to 15389.75 tons [1] - According to CME's "FedWatch", the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points this week is 0%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 98.9%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 1.1%. By April, the probability of cumulative interest rate cuts of 25 basis points is 3.1%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 95.9%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 1.1% [1] - Trump said he is not ready to end the conflict but will leave in the near future. He invited allies to participate in escort but was met with a cold response, and threatened to withdraw from NATO. Iran's Supreme Leader rejected the peace - making proposal, and key figures in Iran died. Iran attacked UAE's upstream oil and gas facilities for the first time [1] Market Logic - COMEX gold and COMEX silver fluctuated on Tuesday, continuing to move horizontally around $5000 per ounce and $80 per ounce respectively. The Middle East conflict continues to affect the market [1] Trading Strategy - Market short - term uncertainty is large, and investors should control positions to prevent risks [2]