黑色期权早报-20260318
Wu Kuang Qi Huo·2026-03-18 02:33

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the document Core Viewpoints - The report analyzes the market data, option factors, and provides strategy suggestions for various black options including glass (FG), iron ore (I), rebar (RB), soda ash (SA), ferrosilicon (SF), and manganese silicon (SM) [4][17][28] Summary by Directory 1. Glass (FG) - Futures Market Data: FG605 contract closed at 1094 yuan yesterday, down 22 yuan or 1.97% from the previous day. Volume was 860,219 lots, down 465,911 lots, and open interest was 985,969 lots, up 5,796 lots [4][7] - Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR: Call option volume was 162,194 lots, down 56,645 lots; open interest was 273,208 lots, up 13,286 lots. Put option volume was 73,659 lots, down 20,153 lots; open interest was 180,035 lots, up 7,384 lots. Volume PCR was 0.45, up 0.03; open interest PCR was 0.66, down 0.01 [5] - Option Factors - Pressure and Support: The strike price at the money was 1,100. The resistance level was 1,660, and the support level was 1,000. The weighted implied volatility was 50.33%, down 2.23%, and the annual average implied volatility was 37.68% [6] - Strategy Suggestions: No directional strategy. For volatility strategy, construct a short volatility combination of selling call and put options to obtain time value, such as S_FG2603P1020 and S_FG2603C1140 [8] 2. Iron Ore (I) - Futures Market Data: i2605 contract closed at 816.5 yuan yesterday, up 14.5 yuan or 1.80% from the previous day. Volume was 210,056 lots, down 109,973 lots, and open interest was 461,728 lots, up 2,876 lots [19] - Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR: Call option volume was 150,193 lots, down 39,383 lots; open interest was 146,073 lots, down 29,662 lots. Put option volume was 124,771 lots, down 18,781 lots; open interest was 123,965 lots, down 55,378 lots. Volume PCR was 0.83, up 0.07; open interest PCR was 0.85, down 0.02 [17] - Option Factors - Pressure and Support: The strike price at the money was 900. The resistance level was 900, and the support level was 700. The weighted implied volatility was 26.80%, and the annual average implied volatility was 14.87% [18] - Strategy Suggestions: For directional strategy, construct a bull spread of call options to obtain directional returns, such as B_I2605C780 and S_I2605C830. No volatility strategy [20] 3. Rebar (RB) - Futures Market Data: rb2605 contract closed at 3,148 yuan yesterday, up 13 yuan or 0.41% from the previous day. Volume was 592,481 lots, down 143,412 lots, and open interest was 1,549,530 lots, down 24,530 lots [31] - Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR: Call option volume was 73,837 lots, up 5,092 lots; open interest was 236,065 lots, up 10,364 lots. Put option volume was 22,166 lots, down 13 lots; open interest was 120,934 lots, up 4,661 lots. Volume PCR was 0.3, down 0.02; open interest PCR was 0.51 [29] - Option Factors - Pressure and Support: The strike price at the money was 3,150. The resistance level was 3,550, and the support level was 3,000. The weighted implied volatility was 20.49%, down 0.29%, and the annual average implied volatility was 17.21% [30] - Strategy Suggestions: For directional strategy, construct a bull spread of call options to obtain directional returns. For volatility strategy, construct a combination of selling call and put options to obtain time value, and dynamically adjust positions to keep the delta of positions short, such as S_RB2605P2950 and S_RB2605C3200 [32] 4. Soda Ash (SA) - Futures Market Data: SA605 contract closed at 1,243 yuan yesterday, down 18 yuan or 1.42% from the previous day. Volume was 791,411 lots, down 365,110 lots, and open interest was 964,268 lots, down 3,395 lots [43] - Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR: Call option volume was 204,438 lots, down 11,444 lots; open interest was 298,611 lots, up 14,789 lots. Put option volume was 68,967 lots, down 12,427 lots; open interest was 112,156 lots, up 5,165 lots. Volume PCR was 0.34, down 0.04; open interest PCR was 0.38 [41] - Option Factors - Pressure and Support: The strike price at the money was 1,240. The resistance level was 1,740, and the support level was 1,100. The weighted implied volatility was 45.46%, down 1.37%, and the annual average implied volatility was 32.35% [42] - Strategy Suggestions: No directional strategy. For volatility strategy, construct a short volatility combination to obtain volatility returns, such as S_SA2605P1140 and S_SA2605C1300 [44] 5. Ferrosilicon (SF) - Futures Market Data: SF605 contract closed at 5,928 yuan yesterday, up 30 yuan or 0.50% from the previous day. Volume was 121,759 lots, up 2,874 lots, and open interest was 180,530 lots, up 8,393 lots [55] - Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR: Call option volume was 14,980 lots, up 3,061 lots; open interest was 24,284 lots, up 1,588 lots. Put option volume was 5,654 lots, down 1,618 lots; open interest was 17,813 lots, up 377 lots. Volume PCR was 0.38, down 0.23; open interest PCR was 0.73, down 0.03 [53] - Option Factors - Pressure and Support: The strike price at the money was 5,900. The resistance level was 6,500, and the support level was 5,500. The weighted implied volatility was 25.30%, up 0.57%, and the annual average implied volatility was 22.53% [54] - Strategy Suggestions: For directional strategy, construct a bull spread of call options to obtain directional returns. For volatility strategy, do not recommend strategies based on selling (such as single selling or double selling) [56] 6. Manganese Silicon (SM) - Futures Market Data: SM605 contract closed at 6,240 yuan yesterday, up 52 yuan or 0.84% from the previous day. Volume was 239,710 lots, up 88,137 lots, and open interest was 364,105 lots, down 646 lots [68] - Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR: Call option volume was 71,288 lots, up 46,634 lots; open interest was 72,091 lots, up 5,442 lots. Put option volume was 17,185 lots, up 4,769 lots; open interest was 33,591 lots, up 798 lots. Volume PCR was 0.24, down 0.26; open interest PCR was 0.47, down 0.03 [66] - Option Factors - Pressure and Support: The strike price at the money was 6,200. The resistance level was 6,500, and the support level was 5,900. The weighted implied volatility was 30.37%, up 3.19%, and the annual average implied volatility was 22.33% [67] - Strategy Suggestions: For directional strategy, construct a bull spread of call options to obtain directional returns. For volatility strategy, due to high geopolitical risks, do not recommend strategies based on selling (such as single selling or double selling) [69]

黑色期权早报-20260318 - Reportify