股指回调
Hua Tai Qi Huo·2026-03-18 05:13
- Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The current market is in a phase of volume - shrinking adjustment with relatively limited overall selling pressure. Due to the lack of clear driving factors, it may continue the range - bound oscillation pattern in the short term, waiting for new catalytic signals [3] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Analysis - Macro Aspect: The National Development and Reform Commission is organizing the application for national - level iconic major application scenario projects with a list to be released to the public. Eligible projects will be given priority support in existing funding channels. Around 100 iconic scenario projects will be determined nationwide, covering scenarios like multi - provincial clean energy corridors, full - space unmanned systems, and elderly care services in aging - prone areas [2] - Geopolitical Aspect: US President Trump expressed dissatisfaction with NATO as his invitation for allies to participate in escorting in the Strait of Hormuz was cold - shouldered. He said that whether the US should withdraw from NATO is "something we should consider", as most NATO allies are reluctant to get involved in US military operations against Iran [2] - Index Adjustment: In the spot market, the three major A - share indices rose and then fell. The Shanghai Composite Index dropped 0.85% to close at 4049.91 points, and the ChiNext Index dropped 2.29%. Most sector indices declined, with only non - bank finance, banking, food and beverage, and real estate sectors closing in the green. Communication, electronics, national defense and military industry, and machinery sectors led the decline. The daily market turnover was 2.2 trillion yuan. Overseas, the three major US stock indices closed slightly higher, with the Nasdaq rising 0.47% to 22479.53 points [2] - Basis Convergence: In the futures market, with the Friday delivery of the current - month contract, the basis tended to converge. In terms of trading volume and open interest, the trading volume and open interest of IF and IM increased simultaneously [2] Strategy - The market is in a volume - shrinking adjustment phase. With limited selling pressure but lacking clear driving factors, it may continue to oscillate within a range in the short term, awaiting new catalysts [3] Macro Economic Charts - The report includes charts on the relationship between the US dollar index and A - share trends, US Treasury yields and A - share trends, RMB exchange rate and A - share trends, and US Treasury yields and A - share style trends [6][8][10] Spot Market Tracking Charts - Stock Index Performance: The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4049.91 on March 17, 2026, down 0.85% from the previous day; the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14039.73, down 1.87%; the ChiNext Index closed at 3280.06, down 2.29%; the CSI 300 Index closed at 4637.44, down 0.73%; the SSE 50 Index closed at 2963.58, up 0.32%; the CSI 500 Index closed at 8016.03, down 2.07%; the CSI 1000 Index closed at 8019.86, down 2.33% [13] - Other Charts: There are also charts on the trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets and the margin trading balance [14] Futures Market Tracking Charts - Trading Volume and Open Interest: The trading volume of IF was 146045, an increase of 21683; the open interest was 280450, an increase of 6776. The trading volume of IH was 69141, an increase of 8837; the open interest was 106613, a decrease of 3547. The trading volume of IC was 170339, an increase of 560; the open interest was 281417, a decrease of 7462. The trading volume of IM was 235540, an increase of 16761; the open interest was 382072, an increase of 508 [17] - Basis: The basis of IF, IH, IC, and IM for different contracts (current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter) and their changes are presented [40] - Inter - period Spread: The inter - period spreads (next - month minus current - month, next - quarter minus current - month, etc.) of IH, IF, IC, and IM and their changes are provided [48][49]