HTSC·2026-03-18 07:08Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 7.84, up from the previous target of HKD 7.32 [6][4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of HKD 12.125 billion for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.56%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 3.149 billion, up 1.22% year-on-year, slightly below expectations due to higher-than-expected cost increases [1][4]. - The company plans to increase its capital expenditure, with an average of HKD 4.729 billion per year from 2026 to 2028, representing a 14% increase compared to 2025, which is expected to support steady growth in net profit [3][4]. - The company aims to phase out coal-fired units and increase natural gas generation capacity, targeting a natural gas generation ratio of 69% by 2025, with further increases expected as new projects come online [2][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2025, the company expects a revenue of HKD 12.125 billion and a net profit of HKD 3.149 billion, with projected earnings per share (EPS) of HKD 0.36 [10][4]. - The company’s dividend per share (DPS) is expected to remain stable at HKD 0.3203, resulting in a dividend payout ratio of 90% of net profit [1][4]. Capital Expenditure and Growth Plans - The total capital expenditure for 2024-2028 is projected to reach HKD 22 billion, with a focus on maintaining high levels of investment to support future growth [3][4]. - The company is advancing its development plan, including the construction of a 380MW gas combined cycle unit, expected to be operational by early 2029, which will further enhance its natural gas generation capacity [2][3]. Profitability and Valuation - The report forecasts net profits for 2026-2028 to be HKD 3.207 billion, HKD 3.279 billion, and HKD 3.368 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS estimates of HKD 0.36, HKD 0.37, and HKD 0.38 [10][4]. - The valuation is based on a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 1.40x for 2026, reflecting confidence in the company's ability to convert capital expenditures into fixed assets and profit growth [4][10].