Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - Through macro - fundamental analysis and technical analysis using tools like the golden ratio line, horizontal line, and moving average, the report predicts the trend of various futures contracts on March 18, 2026, and the overall trend in March 2026 [2][8]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Futures Market Outlook 1.1 March 18, 2026 Forecast - Stock Index Futures: Likely to be strongly volatile. For example, IF2603 has resistance levels at 4659 and 4706 points, and support levels at 4605 and 4591 points [2]. - Gold Futures: The AU2604 contract is likely to be weakly volatile, with support levels at 1105.6 and 1102.1 yuan/gram, and resistance levels at 1124.1 and 1129.2 yuan/gram [2]. - Silver Futures: The AG2606 contract is likely to be weakly volatile, with support levels at 19570 and 19200 yuan/kg, and resistance levels at 20587 and 20923 yuan/kg [2]. - Copper Futures: The CU2605 contract is likely to be weakly volatile, with support levels at 98500 and 98200 yuan/ton, and resistance levels at 99800 and 100200 yuan/ton [2]. - Aluminum Futures: The AL2605 contract is likely to be weakly volatile, with support levels at 24690 and 24520 yuan/ton, and resistance levels at 25170 and 25290 yuan/ton [3]. - Alumina Futures: The AO2605 contract is likely to be strongly volatile, with resistance levels at 3119 and 3150 yuan/ton, and support levels at 3049 and 3021 yuan/ton [3]. - Nickel Futures: The NI2605 contract is likely to be range - bound, with resistance levels at 137300 and 137800 yuan/ton, and support levels at 134700 and 133800 yuan/ton [3]. - Tin Futures: The SN2604 contract is likely to be weakly volatile, with support levels at 365000 and 356900 yuan/ton, and resistance levels at 379000 and 385000 yuan/ton [3]. - Lithium Carbonate Futures: The LC2605 contract is likely to be strongly volatile, with resistance levels at 159500 and 164900 yuan/ton, and support levels at 150700 and 149000 yuan/ton [3]. - Rebar Futures: The RB2605 contract is likely to be strongly volatile, with resistance levels at 3174 and 3187 yuan/ton, and support levels at 3146 and 3142 yuan/ton [3]. - Iron Ore Futures: The I2605 contract is likely to be widely volatile, with support levels at 809 and 804 yuan/ton, and resistance levels at 819 and 827 yuan/ton [3]. - Coking Coal Futures: The JM2605 contract is likely to be strongly volatile, with resistance levels at 1200 and 1205 yuan/ton, and support levels at 1170 and 1155 yuan/ton [4]. - Glass Futures: The FG605 contract is likely to be range - bound, with support levels at 1087 and 1079 yuan/ton, and resistance levels at 1102 and 1111 yuan/ton [6]. - Soda Ash Futures: The SA605 contract is likely to be range - bound, with support levels at 1238 and 1226 yuan/ton, and resistance levels at 1251 and 1260 yuan/ton [6]. - Crude Oil Futures: The SC2605 contract is likely to be widely volatile, with support levels at 731 and 715 yuan/barrel, and resistance levels at 779 and 806 yuan/barrel [6]. - Fuel Oil Futures: The FU2605 contract is likely to be weakly volatile, with support levels at 4653 and 4522 yuan/ton, and resistance levels at 4848 and 5023 yuan/ton [6]. - Asphalt Futures: The BU2606 contract is likely to be widely volatile and accumulate strength to attack resistance levels at 4550 and 4595 yuan/ton, with support levels at 4346 and 4280 yuan/ton [6]. - Linear Low - density Polyethylene Futures: The L2605 contract is likely to be strongly volatile, with resistance levels at 8677 and 8894 yuan/ton, and support levels at 8383 and 8288 yuan/ton [6]. - Polypropylene Futures: The PP2605 contract is likely to be strongly volatile, with resistance levels at 8857 and 9090 yuan/ton, and support levels at 8519 and 8422 yuan/ton [6]. - PTA Futures: The TA605 contract is likely to be strongly volatile, with resistance levels at 7100 and 7256 yuan/ton, and support levels at 6760 and 6696 yuan/ton [7]. - PVC Futures: The V2605 contract is likely to be widely volatile, with support levels at 5849 and 5750 yuan/ton, and resistance levels at 6000 and 6053 yuan/ton [7]. - Methanol Futures: The MA605 contract is likely to be strongly volatile, with resistance levels at 2980 and 3000 yuan/ton, and support levels at 2825 and 2805 yuan/ton [7]. 1.2 March 2026 Forecast - Stock Index Futures: The main continuous contracts of IF, IH, IC, and IM are likely to be weakly and widely volatile [8]. - Gold Futures: The main continuous contract is likely to be weakly volatile, with support levels at 1102.0 and 1076.2 yuan/gram, and resistance levels at 1210.3 and 1258.7 yuan/gram [8]. - Silver Futures: The main continuous contract is likely to be weakly volatile, with support levels at 19609 and 17620 yuan/kg, and resistance levels at 25141 and 26850 yuan/kg [8]. - Copper Futures: The main continuous contract is likely to be weakly volatile, with support levels at 96600 and 95000 yuan/ton, and resistance levels at 105800 and 114000 yuan/ton [8]. - Aluminum Futures: The main continuous contract is likely to be strongly volatile, with resistance levels at 26190 and 27000 yuan/ton, and support levels at 23020 and 22680 yuan/ton [8]. - Alumina Futures: The AO2605 contract is likely to be strongly volatile, with resistance levels at 3119 and 3277 yuan/ton, and support levels at 2730 and 2651 yuan/ton [8]. - Nickel Futures: The main continuous contract is likely to be weakly and widely volatile, with support levels at 130300 and 125000 yuan/ton, and resistance levels at 141900 and 146600 yuan/ton [8]. - Tin Futures: The main continuous contract is likely to be weakly volatile, with support levels at 378800 and 349300 yuan/ton, and resistance levels at 470000 and 480000 yuan/ton [8]. - Lithium Carbonate Futures: The main continuous contract is likely to be weakly volatile, with support levels at 139300 and 123900 yuan/ton, and resistance levels at 189400 and 200000 yuan/ton [8]. - Rebar Futures: The RB2605 contract is likely to be strongly and widely volatile, with resistance levels at 3177 and 3242 yuan/ton, and support levels at 3006 and 2962 yuan/ton [8]. - Iron Ore Futures: The I2605 contract is likely to be strongly volatile, with resistance levels at 857 and 877 yuan/ton, and support levels at 736 and 725 yuan/ton [8]. - Coking Coal Futures: The JM2605 contract is likely to be strongly volatile, with resistance levels at 1288 and 1385 yuan/ton, and support levels at 1062 and 1022 yuan/ton [8]. - Glass Futures: The FG605 contract is likely to be strongly volatile, with resistance levels at 1225 and 1284 yuan/ton, and support levels at 1015 and 973 yuan/ton [8]. - Soda Ash Futures: The SA605 contract is likely to be strongly volatile, with resistance levels at 1339 and 1390 yuan/ton, and support levels at 1146 and 1123 yuan/ton [8]. - Crude Oil Futures: The main continuous contract is likely to be strongly volatile, with resistance levels at 824 and 900 yuan/barrel, and support levels at 490 and 480 yuan/barrel, and is expected to reach a record high since listing [9]. 2. Macro Information and Trading Tips - The National Development and Reform Commission is organizing the application for national - level landmark major application scenario projects, with about 100 projects to be determined nationwide [10]. - Trump proposed to postpone his visit to China, and the Chinese Foreign Ministry responded that the two sides are in communication, and the US has clarified the false media reports [10]. - The Ministry of Finance will continue to implement a more proactive fiscal policy in 2026, focusing on seven aspects of work [10]. - The National Development and Reform Commission has launched a new batch of 13 landmark major foreign - funded projects with a planned investment of 13.4 billion US dollars [11]. - The State - owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council emphasizes focusing on "two majors" and "two new" to implement major projects and landmark projects [11]. - The National Energy Administration data shows that from January to February, the cumulative electricity consumption of the whole society increased by 6.1% year - on - year [11]. - Trump expressed dissatisfaction with NATO due to the cold response from allies on escorting in the Strait of Hormuz [11]. - Iran is in a complex situation, including the death of some important figures, the rejection of mediation proposals, and the threat from the Israeli military [12]. - The US National Counterterrorism Center Director Kent resigned due to opposition to the war with Iran [12]. - US intelligence assessment shows that Iran's regime is still stable after the US - Israel attack [12]. - Ukrainian experts are assisting Gulf countries in defending against Iranian drones [12]. - The Reserve Bank of Australia raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.1% [13]. 3. Commodity Futures - related Information - On March 17, US crude oil and Brent crude oil prices rose due to geopolitical conflicts and inventory factors [13]. - On March 17, international precious metal futures closed with mixed results, affected by multiple factors [14]. - On March 17, most London base metals fell [14]. - The US government plans to relax sanctions on Venezuela's oil industry [14]. - The port of Fujairah in the UAE has suspended oil loading [15]. - On March 17, the on - shore RMB against the US dollar rose, and the dollar index fell [15]. 4. Futures Market Analysis and Outlook - Stock Index Futures: On March 17, the main contracts of IF2603, IC2603, and IM2603 showed a downward trend, while the IH2603 contract showed a slight upward trend [15][16][17]. - Gold Futures: On March 17, the AU2604 contract showed a slight downward trend [37]. - Silver Futures: On March 17, the AG2606 contract showed a slight upward trend but with weak rebound momentum [43]. - Copper Futures: On March 17, the CU2604 contract showed a slight downward trend [47]. - Aluminum Futures: On March 17, the AL2605 contract showed a weak downward trend [52]. - Alumina Futures: On March 17, the AO2605 contract showed a strong upward trend [56]. - Nickel Futures: On March 17, the NI2605 contract showed a slight downward trend [61]. - Tin Futures: On March 17, the SN2604 contract showed a slight upward trend [65]. - Lithium Carbonate Futures: On March 17, the LC2605 contract showed a weak downward trend [71]. - Rebar Futures: On March 17, the RB2605 contract showed a slight upward trend [74]. - Iron Ore Futures: On March 17, the I2605 contract showed an upward trend [79]. - Coking Coal Futures: On March 17, the JM2605 contract showed a weak downward trend [84]. - Glass Futures: On March 17, the FG605 contract showed a downward trend [88]. - Soda Ash Futures: On March 16, the SA605 contract showed a downward trend [91]. - Crude Oil Futures: On March 17, the SC2605 contract showed a weak and wide - range volatile downward trend [96]. - Fuel Oil Futures: On March 17, the FU2605 contract showed a weak and wide - range volatile downward trend [100]. - Asphalt Futures: On March 17, the BU2606 contract showed a weak and wide - range volatile upward trend [103]. - Linear Low - density Polyethylene Futures: On March 17, the L2605 contract showed a weak downward trend [105]. - Polypropylene Futures: On March 17, the PP2605 contract showed a weak downward trend [108]. - PTA Futures: On March 17, the TA605 contract showed a weak downward trend [109]. - PVC Futures: On March 17, the V2605 contract showed an upward trend [113]. - Methanol Futures: On March 17, the MA605 contract showed a slight upward trend [115].
股指期货将偏强震荡甲醇期货将震荡偏强黄金、白银、铜期货将偏弱震荡氧化铝、螺纹钢、焦煤期货将偏强震荡
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2026-03-18 12:13