20260318申万期货品种策略日报-双焦（JM&J）-20260319

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core View of the Report - The main contracts of coking coal and coke rose slightly in the night session yesterday, and the total open interest of coking coal was basically flat compared with the previous period. Last week, the coking coal production continued to increase, and the customs clearance volume of Mongolian coal also increased significantly, indicating pressure on the supply side of coking coal. Due to the impact of environmental protection restrictions, the hot metal production continued to decline, but with the end of environmental protection restrictions and the promotion of resumption of work and production, it is expected that the hot metal production will significantly rebound in the future. The increase in the listing volume and trading volume of coking coal last week also proves the current rigid demand resilience, so there is no need to be overly pessimistic about the future trend. The future focus should be on the trend of hot metal production, mine operation, and geopolitical situation [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Price and Trading Volume - Price Changes: The closing prices of coking coal futures contracts on different delivery dates changed compared to the previous two days. For example, the 1 - month contract decreased by 6.5 to 1475.5, with a decline of -0.44%; the 5 - month contract decreased by 5.0 to 1176.0, with a decline of -0.42%; the 9 - month contract increased by 1.5 to 1282.0, with an increase of 0.12% [2] - Trading Volume and Open Interest: The trading volume of the 5 - month contract was 673152, and the open interest was 391077. The open interest of the 1 - month contract decreased by 49, while that of the 9 - month contract increased by 1386 [2] - Price Spreads: The price spreads between different contracts also changed. For example, the 1 - 5 month spread increased by 306 to 240, and the 5 - 9 month spread increased by 2.5 to -79.5 [2] Spot Price - Coal Types and Prices: The current prices of low - sulfur main coking coal in Linfen (ex - factory price) is 3711, the port pick - up price of Mongolian No. 5 main coking coal is 1210, and the prices of other coal types in different regions are also provided, such as the Tangshan first - grade coke price is 1800 [2] - Price Changes: The price of low - sulfur main coking coal in Taiyuan (railway siding price) increased by 44, while the prices of other coal types remained unchanged [2] Policy Information - The National Development and Reform Commission has launched a new batch of 13 landmark major foreign - funded projects with a planned investment of 13.4 billion US dollars. The projects are mainly concentrated in manufacturing fields such as electronics, chemicals, automobiles, and machinery, and for the first time, logistics projects are included in the list, while continuing to support R & D center projects in fields such as biomedicine [2]