可控核聚变系列报告(一):未来能源,聚变已至
Guotou Securities·2026-03-20 10:41

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market - A" [5] Core Insights - Nuclear fusion is considered one of humanity's ultimate energy solutions, currently in the engineering verification stage, characterized by its infinite resources, high energy density, safety, and cleanliness [1][15] - The D-T (deuterium-tritium) reaction is the most feasible fusion reaction on Earth, with global research primarily focused on magnetic confinement fusion and inertial confinement fusion technologies [2][22] - The global fusion industry is experiencing active financing, with a total of $9.766 billion raised by 2025, and 78% of companies expect to have their first commercial demonstration plant operational between 2030 and 2035 [3][4] Summary by Sections 1. Transition from Laboratory to Engineering in Controlled Nuclear Fusion - Controlled nuclear fusion is viewed as the ultimate energy solution, with characteristics such as infinite resources, high energy density, safety, and cleanliness [1][15] - Achieving fusion ignition requires meeting the Lawson criteria, with energy balance being a crucial indicator for commercial viability [17][20] - The main technical paths for achieving fusion include magnetic confinement and inertial confinement [25] 2. Magnetic Confinement Fusion: Tokamak as the Main Pathway - The Tokamak is recognized as the most promising method for achieving controlled nuclear fusion, with ITER being the largest experimental Tokamak reactor [27][29] - The core components of the Tokamak include superconducting magnet systems, vacuum chambers, and blanket systems, which are critical for maintaining plasma stability and achieving fusion [42][43] 3. Global Acceleration of Nuclear Fusion Commercialization - The fusion industry is seeing a surge in financing, with a total of $9.766 billion raised by 2025, and a fivefold increase in new financing from 2024 to 2025 [3][4] - In China, a dual-driven model involving state-owned enterprises and private companies is emerging, with significant milestones such as the establishment of China Fusion Energy Co., which is pivotal for commercialization [3][4][11] 4. Investment Recommendations - Focus on companies involved in materials and equipment manufacturing that have received validation or orders from large scientific installations in the short term [11] - Long-term attention should be directed towards operational companies in the fusion energy sector [11]

可控核聚变系列报告(一):未来能源,聚变已至 - Reportify