GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES·2026-03-20 14:51Group 1 - Industry Investment Rating: Overweight [2] - Core Viewpoint: The demand for savings is driving the NBV (New Business Value) prosperity, and the importance of asset-liability linkage is increasing [2][4] - Investment Recommendations: Recommended companies include Ping An, China Pacific Insurance, New China Life, China Property & Casualty, China Life, and People's Insurance Company of China [3][4] Group 2 - Life Insurance: The growth in savings demand is expected to drive NBV growth, with the bancassurance channel being a significant driver [3][4] - Property Insurance: Premium scale is expected to grow steadily, with leading companies improving their combined ratio (COR) [3][4] - Economic recovery is anticipated to lead to stable profit and EV growth for listed insurance companies in 2026 [3][4] Group 3 - The liability side continues to grow, with an improvement in liability costs: It is expected that savings demand will drive NBV growth in 2026, with the bancassurance channel being a key driver [3][4] - The importance of asset-liability linkage is rising: The uncertainty in investment returns and the difficulty in reducing liability costs are raising concerns about insurance company profitability [3][4] - The expected growth in premium income for 2026 is driven by the migration of residents' asset allocation towards savings-type insurance, especially participating insurance [18]