ZHESHANG SECURITIES·2026-03-22 06:05Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - The coal sector has shown resilience, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.14 percentage points despite a weekly decline of 2.05% [2] - Key coal mines reported a slight decrease in average daily sales but a year-on-year increase, indicating stable demand [2] - The recent surge in coking coal futures is driven by downstream restocking expectations and geopolitical tensions, suggesting a potential price rebound [6][28] Summary by Sections Supply Side - Average daily coal sales from monitored enterprises were 7.54 million tons, a week-on-week decrease of 0.5% but a year-on-year increase of 5.1% [2] - The total coal inventory (including port stocks) was 24.53 million tons, down 2% week-on-week and down 31.1% year-on-year [2][7] Demand Side - Power and chemical industries have seen cumulative coal consumption increase by 1% and 9.3% year-on-year, respectively [2] - The average daily coal consumption in the chemical sector was reported at 8.29 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.3% [26] Price Side - The price of thermal coal (Q5500K) was reported at 687 RMB/ton, a week-on-week decrease of 0.29% [3] - Coking coal prices at major ports have shown mixed trends, with some ports experiencing price increases [4] - The futures settlement price for coking coal was 1,162 RMB/ton, down 1.4% week-on-week [4] Sentiment Side - The sentiment in the coal market remains optimistic due to expected price increases driven by supply constraints and rising demand from the steel sector [6][28] - The overall market sentiment is supported by high steel prices and the suspension of coal exports from Russia [28]