建筑业高频略有修复

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the third week of March, the second - hand housing market was hotter than the new housing market, but the trends of listing prices and the Iceberg Index were fluctuating, with Shanghai showing relatively leading performance in terms of volume and price. In the production sector, freight volume was stronger than the seasonal average, and the daily coal consumption increased year - on - year. After the Spring Festival, the industry start - up rates were differentiated, with coking, refinery, and blast furnace operations showing marginal strength, while the chemical chain declined. In the construction industry, the supply - demand situation of cement and black metals improved marginally, and the asphalt start - up rate decreased. In terms of external demand, throughput remained resilient, freight rate indicators were strong recently, the year - on - year decline of container freight rates continued to narrow, and the exports of South Korea and Vietnam remained resilient. In the consumption sector, the travel enthusiasm remained at a high level, but the year - on - year growth of automobile consumption decreased compared with the previous value. In terms of prices, crude oil prices rose due to geopolitical factors, black metals fluctuated strongly, and copper prices declined [1]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Consumption - Travel: The overall travel enthusiasm remained at a high level, but the year - on - year growth of flight execution volume decreased. The subway passenger volume of 9 key cities had a week - on - week increase of 0.1% (previous value: 3.4%) and a year - on - year increase of 1.5% (previous value: 2.3%) as of the week ending March 19. The congestion delay index as of March 15 showed a year - on - year decrease of - 3.8% (previous value: - 5.8%). The year - on - year growth of domestic (excluding Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan) and international flight execution volume was 3.2%/3.6% (previous value: 8.8%/6.0%), and the flight execution rates were 87.2%/82.0% (previous value: 83.5%/81.8%, and the same period last year: 88.8%/84.0%) as of the week ending March 13 [4][5]. - Commodity consumption: The year - on - year growth of automobile consumption decreased, while the year - on - year growth of express delivery collection increased. The movie box office had a week - on - week decrease of - 54.6% (previous value: - 69.4%) and a year - on - year decrease of - 33.8% (previous value: - 32.9%) as of the week ending March 19. The retail and wholesale of passenger cars from March 1 - 15 had a year - on - year decrease of - 21%/- 19% (previous value: 54%/46%). The sales volume of the Light Textile City had a year - on - year decrease of - 9.4% (previous value: - 32.2%) as of the week ending March 15, and the express delivery collection volume had a year - on - year increase of 4.5% (previous value: 1.0%) as of March 15 [4][6]. - Policy: Last week, China's consumption - promotion policies continued to be advanced in depth. At the national level, nine departments including the Ministry of Commerce issued policies to promote travel service exports and expand inbound consumption. At the local level, Jiangsu, Shanghai, and Xuancheng in Anhui introduced characteristic measures to protect consumer rights and optimize the consumption environment [6]. Real Estate - New housing: The transaction enthusiasm of new housing decreased slightly. Structurally, second - tier cities were relatively leading. As of March 19, the weekly transaction area of commercial housing in 30 cities decreased by - 3.1% year - on - year (previous value: 5.7%), and the transaction areas in first, second, and third - tier cities decreased by - 6.7%/6.0%/- 16.4% year - on - year (previous value: 8.3%/6.0%/0.4%). The combined transaction of new housing in the first three weeks of March decreased by - 7.80% year - on - year (previous value: - 9.62%) [7]. - Second - hand housing: The transaction of second - hand housing improved. Structurally, third - tier cities > first - tier cities > second - tier cities. As of March 20, the weekly transaction area of second - hand housing in 26 cities decreased by - 10.7% year - on - year (previous value: - 26.4%), and the transaction areas in first, second, and third - tier cities decreased by - 5.7%/- 15.0%/- 4.2% year - on - year (previous value: - 21.9%/- 25.0%/- 32.9%). The combined transaction of second - hand housing in the first three weeks of March decreased by - 20.95% year - on - year (previous value: - 27.10%). The transaction enthusiasm of new and second - hand housing in high - level cities such as Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Chengdu increased year - on - year [7]. - Listing volume and price: The listing volume and price of second - hand housing both decreased. As of March 15, the weekly index of the listing price and volume of second - hand housing for sale decreased by - 0.1%/- 10.3% week - on - week, and the indexes of all tiers of cities decreased week - on - week [7]. - Land: The land market premium rate decreased compared with the previous value, and the land transaction volume remained at a low level. As of March 15, the weekly transaction area of land in 100 cities increased by 4.54% week - on - week and 35.55% year - on - year, the supply area decreased by - 10.86% year - on - year, the land premium rate decreased by - 10.17 pct year - on - year, the total land transaction price decreased by - 35.62% week - on - week and increased by 6.05% year - on - year [8]. - Policy: Last week, real estate policies continued to exert force on both the supply and demand sides. On the demand side, Shanghai adjusted the mortgage policy for commercial and residential - commercial properties, reducing the minimum down - payment ratio to no less than 30% from March 16, 2026. On the supply side, Jiangsu issued an action plan for high - quality urban development [8]. Production - Electricity: The daily coal consumption increased year - on - year, the hydropower generation decreased year - on - year, and the coal price increased. As of March 19, the daily coal consumption of 25 provincial power coal terminal users increased by 6.0% year - on - year (previous value: - 0.2%). As of March 20, the weekly year - on - year growth of the daily average outflow of the Three Gorges Reservoir was 3.3% (previous value: 13.6%). As of March 20, the coal price increased by 0.1% week - on - week (previous value: - 0.3%) [9]. - Construction industry: The funds available for construction increased week - on - week, and the supply - demand situation of cement and black metals improved. The funds available for construction increased week - on - week. As of March 18, the funds available for sample construction sites was 50.7%, with a week - on - week increase of 7.90 pct and a year - on - year decrease of - 6.83 pct (previous value: - 14.42 pct). The supply - demand situation of cement improved marginally, the inventory decreased year - on - year, and the price increased. The supply - demand situation of black metals improved, the inventory increased year - on - year, and the price decreased. The asphalt start - up rate decreased, and the price increased. The PVC start - up rate increased compared with the previous value, and the styrene start - up rate decreased [10][11][12]. - Freight: The railway and highway freight volume increased year - on - year, and the industry start - up rates were differentiated. As of March 15, the railway freight volume and highway truck traffic increased by 4.3%/0.6% year - on - year (previous value: - 0.3%/- 9.3%). The coking start - up rate increased, and the refinery start - up rate decreased slightly. The start - up rates of PTA, polyester, and Jiangsu and Zhejiang looms decreased, while the start - up rates of semi - and full - steel tire production increased [13]. External Demand - Volume: As of March 15, the cumulative cargo throughput and container throughput of ports increased by 9.5%/9.3% week - on - week (previous value: - 0.4%/1.4%) and 2.3%/11.1% year - on - year (previous value: - 2.1%/- 1.7%), maintaining a high year - on - year level [14]. - Freight rate: The RJ/CRB index increased by 18.8% year - on - year (previous value: 17.6%). The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) increased by 3.3% week - on - week on average as of March 20 (previous value: - 8.3%), and the year - on - year growth was 24.5% (previous value: 28.1%). The China Containerized Freight Index (CCFI) and Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) increased by 4.5%/- 0.2% week - on - week (previous value: 1.7%/14.9%). Most routes of CCFI improved both week - on - week and year - on - year, while the week - on - week data of the US West and US East routes were weak. In Shanghai Port, the freight market showed a differentiated trend, and the freight rates of most ocean routes except the European and Persian Gulf routes declined [14]. - Exports of South Korea and Vietnam: South Korea's export volume in the first 10 days of March increased by 55.60% year - on - year (previous value: 29.00%), and Vietnam's export volume in February increased by 6.26% year - on - year (previous value: 43.91%) [14]. - Overseas economy: The US announced that the industrial output in February increased by 0.2% month - on - month, the PPI in February increased by 3.4% year - on - year, and the core PPI increased by 3.9% year - on - year, both exceeding expectations. The number of initial jobless claims decreased to 205,000, and the existing home sales in February increased by 1.7% month - on - month. The Eurozone announced that the ZEW economic sentiment index in March was - 8.5, the CPI in February increased by 1.9% year - on - year, and the core CPI increased by 2.4% year - on - year. The ECB kept interest rates unchanged, raised the inflation forecast for 2026 to 2.6%, and lowered the GDP growth forecast to 0.9% [15]. - Import freight rate: The domestic import freight rate (CDFI) increased by 8.4% week - on - week (previous value: 9.7%). As of March 17, the weekly average of the coal, grain, and iron ore freight rate indexes increased by 2.33%/0.71%/1.06% week - on - week (previous value: 1.79%/1.17%/2.03%) [15]. Prices - Comprehensive index: The external RJ/CRB index and the internal Nanhua Industrial Products Index both increased. - Sub - items: Crude oil prices increased, non - ferrous metal prices decreased, black metal prices increased, pork prices decreased, and vegetable prices decreased. As of March 21, the weekly average of the agricultural product wholesale price 200 index decreased by 0.9%. The average wholesale prices of pork, beef, mutton, and white - striped chicken decreased by - 2.4%/0.0%/- 0.0%/- 0.4% week - on - week, the prices of vegetables and fruits decreased by - 2.4%/- 1.1% week - on - week, and the price of eggs increased by 0.7% week - on - week [16][17].