格林大华期货早盘提示：贵金属-20260324

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core View - COMEX gold futures dropped 3.60% to $4410.40 per ounce, COMEX silver futures fell 0.49% to $69.32 per ounce, Shanghai gold's main contract declined 1.3% to 980 yuan per gram, and Shanghai silver's main contract rose 3.47% to 17,246 yuan per kilogram [1] - The market treated the news of the US-Iran dialogue as positive, leading to a fall in international crude oil prices, a rise in US stocks, and a decline in US bond prices [1] - The market's short - term volatility has increased, and investors should control their positions and prevent risks [1] Summary by Related Catalogs Market Quotes - COMEX gold futures fell 3.60% to $4410.40 per ounce, COMEX silver futures declined 0.49% to $69.32 per ounce, Shanghai gold's main contract dropped 1.3% to 980 yuan per gram, and Shanghai silver's main contract rose 3.47% to 17,246 yuan per kilogram [1] Important Information - On March 23, the holdings of the world's largest gold ETF - SPDR Gold Trust decreased by 4.286 tons to 1052.705 tons, and the holdings of the world's largest silver ETF - iShares Silver Trust increased by 264.76 tons to 15513.67 tons [1] - According to CME's "FedWatch", the probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is 7.2%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 92.8%. By June, the probability of a cumulative 25 - basis - point rate hike is 9.1%, the probability of a cumulative 50 - basis - point rate hike is 0.2%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 90.7% [1] - Trump said there were productive dialogues with Iran in the past two days and would suspend attacks on Iranian energy facilities for five days, but Iran denied the negotiation, saying Trump aimed to lower energy prices and gain time for military plans [1] Market Logic - The market treated the news of the US - Iran dialogue as positive, causing international crude oil prices to fall, US stocks to rise, and US bond prices to decline [1] - COMEX gold rebounded strongly after hitting a low of $4100 per ounce and closed above $4400 per ounce, and COMEX silver rebounded above $69 per ounce after hitting a low near $61 per ounce [1] - The US has shown some intention for peace talks, but the positions of the US and Iran differ greatly, and the future development needs continuous attention [1] Trading Strategy - The market's short - term volatility has increased, and investors should control their positions and prevent risks [1]