华特气体（688268）：26、27年氦气供应紧缺下价格或上涨

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Buy" [1] Core Views - The report highlights a potential global helium supply shortage in 2026 and 2027 due to reduced supply from Qatar, which may lead to price increases. The company is expected to benefit from this helium market cycle due to its established supplier and customer relationships [2][3] - The company has a complete helium supply chain, offering various products including liquid helium and ultra-pure helium, and has established long-term partnerships with international suppliers. This positions the company well to capitalize on the expected demand growth in the semiconductor industry [3] - The report projects an increase in the company's net profit for 2025-2027, with estimates of 170 million, 260 million, and 340 million RMB respectively, reflecting an upward revision due to anticipated price and sales growth [4] Summary by Sections Helium Market Outlook - The helium market is expected to face a supply gap of approximately 0.5 billion cubic meters in 2026 and 0.1 billion cubic meters in 2027, driven by geopolitical tensions affecting Qatar's helium production [2] - The average price of helium in Northeast Asia increased by 13% month-on-month to 147 USD/kg, while the market price for ultra-pure helium in China rose by 14% to 80 RMB/cubic meter [2] Company Positioning - The company has achieved mass production of 6N ultra-pure helium, certified by ASML, making it a key supplier for high-end semiconductor applications [3] - The company’s established relationships with high-quality customers and suppliers enhance its competitive advantage in the helium market [3] Financial Projections - The report forecasts revenue growth for the company, with expected revenues of 1.4 billion, 1.5 billion, 2.0 billion, and 2.5 billion RMB for the years 2024 to 2027, respectively [11] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.5, 2.2, and 2.8 RMB, respectively, with a target price set at 105.4 RMB based on a 49x PE ratio for 2026 [4][11]