宝城期货甲醇早报-2026-03-24-20260324

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Group 2: Core View of the Report - The methanol 2605 contract is expected to run strongly in the short - term, medium - term, and intraday, with a core logic of the escalation of geopolitical risks [1]. - The methanol futures are expected to maintain a volatile and upward - biased trend this week due to the geopolitical risks in the Middle East and the volatile pattern of international crude oil futures [5]. Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Time - cycle - based Views - Short - term: The methanol 2605 contract shows a volatile and upward - biased trend, with a time frame of within one week [1]. - Medium - term: The methanol 2605 contract shows a volatile and upward - biased trend, with a time frame of two weeks to one month [1]. - Intraday: The methanol 2605 contract is in a strong state, and the concept of "upward - biased" or "downward - biased" only applies to intraday views [1][3][4]. 2. Price - movement Logic - The escalation of the US - Iran conflict has increased geopolitical risks in the Middle East, causing international crude oil futures to maintain a relatively strong pattern. Trump's signal of peace talks was refuted by Iran, and the international crude oil futures have undergone significant adjustments. The domestic methanol futures showed a volatile decline in the overnight session on Monday, and are expected to maintain a volatile and upward - biased trend this week [5].