黑色金属日报-20260324
Guo Tou Qi Huo·2026-03-24 13:27
- Report Industry Investment Ratings - Thread: ★☆☆ [1] - Hot Roll: ★☆☆ [1] - Iron Ore: ☆☆☆ [1] - Coke: ★☆☆ [1] - Coking Coal: ★★☆ [1] - Silicon Manganese: ★☆☆ [1] - Ferrosilicon: ★☆☆ [1] 2. Core Views - The steel market shows mixed trends with demand improvement but limited profit and uncertain sustainability. The iron ore market is expected to be volatile. Coke and coking coal prices may rise due to energy concerns. Silicon manganese and ferrosilicon markets are affected by various factors such as supply, demand, and external events [2][3][4][6] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Steel - The steel futures prices declined slightly today. Thread demand and production increased, and inventory started to decrease. Hot roll demand improved, but inventory pressure remains. After the conference, blast furnace production recovered, but steel mill profits are poor, limiting further growth. Domestic demand improved marginally, and steel exports declined from the high level. Cost supports steel prices, and the short - term market may fluctuate [2] Iron Ore - Iron ore prices were slightly stronger today. Global shipments increased, and domestic arrivals also rose but were still weaker than last year. Port inventory entered the seasonal destocking phase. Terminal demand continued to improve, and iron ore demand increased marginally. The external geopolitical conflict and rising oil prices provide cost support, and the market is expected to be mainly volatile [3] Coke - Coke prices declined slightly today. Coking profits are average, and daily production increased slightly. Inventory changed little, and traders' purchasing willingness improved. Carbon supply is abundant, and downstream iron production increased significantly. The coke futures price is at a premium, and the price may rise due to energy concerns [4] Coking Coal - Coking coal prices declined slightly today. The Mongolian coal customs clearance volume was 1516 vehicles yesterday. Coal mine production recovered well, and the weekly production increased. Spot auction transactions were good, and prices rose due to energy concerns. Terminal inventory increased slightly, and the total coking coal inventory increased. The futures price is at a large premium to Mongolian coal, and the price may rise due to energy concerns [6] Silicon Manganese - Silicon manganese prices rose and then fell today. The impact of the typhoon on manganese ore shipments was small and short - term. Spot manganese ore prices rose, and port inventory increased slightly. Iron production increased significantly, while silicon manganese weekly production decreased slightly, and inventory increased [7] Ferrosilicon - Ferrosilicon prices were mainly volatile today. Some main production areas turned profitable, and the loss in other areas decreased. Iron production rebounded significantly, and export demand was stable. Metal magnesium production remained high, and overall demand was resilient. Supply increased slightly, and inventory rose. Prices may be driven by silicon manganese [8]