Report Industry Investment Ratings - PX: Short - term volatile, mid - term still bullish [2] - PTA: Short - term volatile, mid - term still bullish [2] - MEG: Supply is tight, mid - term trend is bullish [2] Core Views - PX: Mid - term trend is still bullish, operate by buying on dips. There are supply shortages and potential PTA device开工 declines [7] - PTA: Short - term correction, mid - term trend is still bullish. There are challenges in spot sales and pressure from low basis and rising warehouse receipts [8] - MEG: Short - term pressure, mid - term trend is bullish. Supply reduction and demand decline lead to short - term sales difficulties, with a suggested trading range and spread strategy [8] Summary by Related Contents Futures Market - PX: Yesterday's closing price was 9502 yuan/ton, down 206 yuan/ton or - 2.12%. The 5 - 9 month spread was 250 yuan, down 30 yuan [4] - PTA: Yesterday's closing price was 6592 yuan/ton, down 102 yuan/ton or - 1.52%. The 5 - 9 month spread was 108 yuan, down 2 yuan [4] - MEG: Yesterday's closing price was 5036 yuan/ton, down 83 yuan/ton or - 1.62%. The 5 - 9 month spread was 96 yuan, up 14 yuan [4] - PF: Yesterday's closing price was 8110 yuan/ton, down 144 yuan/ton or - 1.74%. The 3 - 4 month spread was - 166 yuan, up 22 yuan [4] - SC: Yesterday's closing price was 723.9 yuan/ton, down 15.2 yuan/ton or - 2.06%. The 2 - 3 month spread was 5 yuan, down 3.9 yuan [4] Spot Market - PX: Yesterday's price was 1207.67 dollars/ton, down 19 dollars/ton [4] - PTA: Yesterday's price was 6465 yuan/ton, down 270 yuan/ton [4] - MEG: Yesterday's price was 4863 yuan/ton, down 373 yuan/ton [4] - Naphtha MOPJ: Yesterday's price was 997.75 dollars/ton, down 90.75 dollars/ton [4] - Dated Brent: Yesterday's price was 109.58 dollars/barrel, down 1.56 dollars/barrel [4] Spot Processing Fees - PX - Naphtha Spread: Yesterday's price was 65.17 dollars/ton, down 38 dollars/ton [4] - PTA Processing Fee: Yesterday's price was 278.35 yuan/ton, down 5.95 yuan/ton [4] - Short - fiber Processing Fee: Yesterday's price was 84.3 yuan/ton, up 213.88 yuan/ton [4] - Bottle - chip Processing Fee: Yesterday's price was 844.62 yuan/ton, up 18.77 yuan/ton [4] - MOPJ Naphtha - Dubai Crude Spread: Yesterday's price was - 4.34 dollars/ton, unchanged [4] Fundamental Data - PX: On March 25, crude futures declined. Unv1's Taiwan Chemical Fiber Company declared force majeure on aromatic products. Some PTA producers in Unv1 may face load reduction [5] - PTA: On March 25, the spot price fell to 6470 yuan/ton. The mainstream basis was 05 - 68 [6] - MEG: On March 25, the spot and futures prices had a certain range. The average monthly price and settlement price were also provided [6] - Polyester: Mainstream polyester filament manufacturers have increased the production cut from 15% to 20% and extended the cut period to the end of April [6] Sales Conditions - Jiangsu and Zhejiang Polyester Yarn: On March 25, the overall sales were light, with an average sales rate of 2 - 30% [7] - Direct - spinning Polyester Staple Fiber: On March 25, the sales were highly differentiated, with an average sales rate of 68% [7] Trend Intensity - PX trend intensity: 0 [7] - PTA trend intensity: 0 [7] - MEG trend intensity: 0 [7] Strategies - PX: Mid - term trend is bullish, operate by buying on dips [7] - PTA: Hold long PX and short PTA [8] - MEG: Unilateral operation in the range of 4500 - 6000 yuan, 5 - 9 month spread positive arbitrage [8]
PX PTA MEG基本面数据:对二甲苯:短期震荡市,中期仍偏强;PTA:短期震荡市,中期仍偏强;MEG:供应偏紧,中期趋势偏强
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2026-03-26 03:28