Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2026-03-26 05:11Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 28.65 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 1.4%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 5.3% [4][6] - The report highlights a decrease in the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio to 1.08% in Q4 2025, with a provision coverage ratio improving to 367% [4][6] - The company is expected to see steady performance improvements in 2026, driven by a new management team and strategic goals set for significant growth by the end of 2027 [6][9] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2024: 28.26 billion yuan - 2025: 28.65 billion yuan - 2026E: 30.18 billion yuan - 2027E: 31.87 billion yuan - 2028E: 33.72 billion yuan - Net profit forecasts are: - 2024: 11.51 billion yuan - 2025: 12.13 billion yuan - 2026E: 13.20 billion yuan - 2027E: 14.39 billion yuan - 2028E: 15.73 billion yuan - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to be around 9.57% in 2026 [5][6] Performance Metrics - The company’s dividend payout ratio is expected to increase to 30.7% in 2025, leading to a projected dividend yield of 4.6% for 2026 [6][9] - The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is forecasted to decrease to 6.12 in 2026, indicating a low valuation relative to earnings [5][6] - The non-performing loan ratio is expected to stabilize around 1.08% through 2028, with a provision coverage ratio maintaining above 350% [5][6]