Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 20.46 CNY based on a 22x P/E ratio for 2026 [3][6]. Core Views - The drilling services sector has shown significant recovery, driven by high oil prices, which are expected to remain elevated due to geopolitical tensions affecting oil production and logistics [2][11]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2026, 2027, and 2028 have been adjusted to 0.93 CNY, 1.00 CNY, and 1.04 CNY respectively, reflecting a positive outlook for profitability [3][11]. - The report highlights a notable increase in the utilization rate of drilling platforms, which reached 91.0% in 2025, contributing to revenue growth in the drilling services segment [11]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2024: 48,302 million CNY - 2025: 50,282 million CNY (up 4.1% YoY) - 2026: 51,843 million CNY (up 3.1% YoY) - 2027: 53,951 million CNY (up 4.1% YoY) - 2028: 55,398 million CNY (up 2.7% YoY) [5][14] - Operating profit is expected to grow from 4,836 million CNY in 2024 to 6,776 million CNY in 2028, with a peak growth rate of 15.7% in 2026 [5][14]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to increase from 3,137 million CNY in 2024 to 4,978 million CNY in 2028, with a significant growth of 22.5% in 2025 [5][14]. - The company's gross margin is expected to improve from 15.7% in 2024 to 17.9% in 2028, indicating better cost management and operational efficiency [5][14].
中海油服(601808):钻井服务显著回升,看好高油价中枢下增长潜力