供应缺口或持续积累，到岸成本再度反弹

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report The supply gap of LPG may continue to accumulate, and the arrival cost has rebounded again. The market's expectation of the easing of the Iranian situation has increased, leading to a decline in crude oil and internal and external prices. However, the war has not really subsided, and the number of oil tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz remains low, indicating that the impact on LPG supply continues to spread. The arrival price rebounded again yesterday. The spot prices in various domestic regions showed mixed trends yesterday. The mainstream transaction prices of civil LPG and ether-based C4 in Shandong decreased compared with the previous working day, and the sales volume of manufacturers was poor, with the market sentiment declining. Before the substantial recovery of the Middle East logistics, the LPG supply gap will continue to exist and its impact will gradually accumulate. Attention should be paid to the potential negotiation progress between Iran and the United States [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Analysis - On March 26, the regional prices were as follows: Shandong market, 6180 - 6250; Northeast market, 5620 - 6010; North China market, 6200 - 6350; East China market, 6700 - 7350; Yangtze River market, 6840 - 6960; Northwest market, 5700 - 5900; South China market, 7150 - 7400 [1]. - In the second half of April 2026, the arrival price of frozen LPG in East China was 1050 US dollars/ton for propane and 1050 US dollars/ton for butane, both up 70 US dollars/ton. The RMB - equivalent price was 7984 yuan/ton for propane and 7984 yuan/ton for butane, both up 549 yuan/ton [1]. - In the second half of April 2026, the arrival price of frozen LPG in South China was 1050 US dollars/ton for propane and 1050 US dollars/ton for butane, both up 70 US dollars/ton. The RMB - equivalent price was 7984 yuan/ton for propane and 7984 yuan/ton for butane, both up 549 yuan/ton [1]. Strategy - Unilateral: Short - term sharp fluctuations, mainly on the sidelines in the short term. - Inter - period: None. - Cross - variety: None. - Spot - futures: None. - Options: None [2].