航运衍生品数据日报-20260327

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided 2. Core View of the Report - The current shipping market is in a stage of shock consolidation. The geopolitical risk premium has declined, the tension in Red Sea navigation has eased, and the market is gradually returning to fundamentals. The European terminal cargo volume is in a weak recovery state, and the support of liner companies' capacity control on prices has weakened. The market lacks clear one - way trading guidance, and the follow - up market will be jointly dominated by fundamentals and market sentiment [4] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Shipping Derivatives Data - China Export Container Freight Rates: The SCFI - US West index is 1121 with a 4.52% increase; SCFI - US East is 1707 with a - 0.20% change; SCFIS - US West is 1109 with a - 1.07% change; SCFI - Northwest Europe is 2922 with a - 6.08% change; CCFI composite index is 1636 with a 1.11% increase; SCFI is 2054 with a - 8.67% change; SCFI - Mediterranean is 1556 with a 0.71% increase; SCFIS - Northwest Europe is 2784 with a 4.43% increase [1][2] Geopolitical Situation - Trump demands Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours, threatening to destroy Iranian power plants. An oil tanker operator has paid about $2 million for passage rights in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran warns of a counter - attack if the US takes military action, and Houthi rebels may join the fight next week. Deterring other straits is an option for the "Resistance Front" [3] Market Analysis - The European container shipping line has seen wide - range shocks today, with significant intraday fluctuations. The far - month contracts are more pressured than the near - month ones, and the trading volume has decreased. The geopolitical risk premium has declined, and the market is returning to fundamentals. The European terminal cargo volume is in a weak recovery, and the support of liner companies' capacity control on prices has weakened. The market lacks clear one - way trading guidance, and the exchange has issued new contract risk control rules [4] Strategy - The recommended strategy is to wait and see [5]