HTSC·2026-03-27 11:14Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Hold" for A-shares and "Buy" for H-shares [7]. Core Views - The company's 2025 revenue reached 9.264 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 0.20%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.149 billion RMB, up 0.38% year-on-year. However, the company recorded a one-time impairment loss of 653 million RMB, impacting net profit by 587 million RMB, leading to results below expectations by 617 million RMB [1][2]. - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 0.244 RMB per share for the 2025 fiscal year, with a payout ratio of approximately 58.85%, resulting in dividend yields of 2.7% for A-shares and 3.7% for H-shares [1][5]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company's toll revenue increased by 1.4% year-on-year, and after excluding the impact of the exit of Yichang Expressway, the adjusted toll revenue grew by 3.15%. This growth was attributed to the opening of the Jiangsu section and favorable weather conditions [2]. - The gross margin for the highway business decreased by 5.2%, primarily due to increased amortization and maintenance costs. The clean energy generation business remained stable, while the solid waste resource recovery business showed a slight turnaround [1][3]. Environmental Business - In the environmental sector, the clean energy generation revenue and gross profit decreased by 0.9% and increased by 2.2%, respectively. The kitchen waste treatment revenue and gross profit grew by 20% and turned profitable, mainly due to the commercial operation of the Guangming Environmental Park and rising oil prices [3]. - The subsidiary, Lande Environmental, reduced its losses to 196 million RMB in 2025 from 397 million RMB in 2024, indicating a near break-even point [3]. Capital Expenditure and Financial Health - The company raised 4.7 billion RMB through a private placement in 2025, reducing its debt-to-asset ratio from 59.7% at the beginning of the year to 55.0% by year-end. However, the company has significant capital expenditure plans of 18.1 billion RMB from 2026 to 2028, which may lead to a slight increase in the debt-to-asset ratio to 56.5% by the end of 2028 [4][5]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecasts for 2026 and 2027 have been revised down by 4.6% and 6.0% to 1.78 billion RMB and 1.58 billion RMB, respectively. The 2028 net profit forecast is introduced at 1.5 billion RMB. The target prices for A-shares and H-shares are set at 10.2 RMB and 8.5 HKD, respectively [5][7].