金融工程周报：转债策略收益表现偏强-20260330

Report Investment Rating - The operation rating of CITIC Five-Style - Stable is ★☆☆ [4] Core Viewpoints - In the week ending March 27, 2026, the weekly returns of Tonglian All A (Shanghai, Shenzhen, Beijing), ChinaBond Composite Bond, and Nanhua Commodity Index were -0.76%, 0.06%, and -0.25% respectively. The convertible bond strategy in the public fund market performed well with a weekly return rate of 0.60%, while the equity long strategy index continued to decline, and most neutral strategy products rose. The pure - bond strategy index closed up, and the medium - to - long - term return was stronger than that of short - term pure bonds. Among commodities, the energy and chemical ETF rose 3.35%, the precious metal ETF net value continued to decline, and the non - ferrous metal ETF's return rebounded slightly [3] - Among the CITIC Five - Style indices, the stable and cyclical styles closed up, while the other styles closed down. The style rotation chart shows that the relative strength of the cyclical style has increased significantly recently, and the relative strength momentum of the consumption style has declined marginally. In the public fund pool, the growth and financial style fund indices outperformed the benchmark, with weekly excess return rates of 0.89% and 0.64% respectively. The market's bias towards the growth and financial styles has increased. This week, the market congestion index rebounded, and the current financial style congestion is in the medium - to - high percentile range of the past year [3] - Among the Barra factors, the short - term momentum factor performed strongly in the past week, the return of the profitability factor adjusted, the winning rate of the liquidity factor continued to decline, and the valuation and scale factors rebounded marginally. This week, the cross - section rotation speed of factors increased month - on - month and is currently in the medium percentile range of the past year [3] - According to the latest scoring results of the style timing model, the financial style rebounded marginally this week, and the current signal continues to be the stable style. The return rate of the style timing strategy last week was 0.56%, and the excess return rate compared with the benchmark balanced allocation was 1.13% [3] Summary by Directory Fund Market Review - Market Index Returns: The weekly returns of Tonglian All A (Shanghai, Shenzhen, Beijing), ChinaBond Composite Bond, and Nanhua Commodity Index were -0.76%, 0.06%, and -0.25% respectively [3] - Public Fund Strategy Performance: The convertible bond strategy had a weekly return of 0.60%. The equity long strategy index continued to decline, most neutral strategy products rose. The pure - bond strategy index closed up, with medium - to - long - term returns stronger than short - term pure bonds. The energy and chemical ETF rose 3.35%, the precious metal ETF net value continued to decline, and the non - ferrous metal ETF's return rebounded slightly [3] CITIC Five - Style Analysis - Style Index Performance: The stable and cyclical styles closed up, while the other styles closed down. The relative strength of the cyclical style increased significantly, and the relative strength momentum of the consumption style declined marginally [3] - Fund Pool Performance: The growth and financial style fund indices outperformed the benchmark, with weekly excess return rates of 0.89% and 0.64% respectively. The market's preference for growth and financial styles increased [3] - Style Congestion: The market congestion index rebounded, and the current financial style congestion is in the medium - to - high percentile range of the past year [3] Barra Factor Analysis - Factor Performance: The short - term momentum factor performed strongly, the return of the profitability factor adjusted, the winning rate of the liquidity factor continued to decline, and the valuation and scale factors rebounded marginally [3] - Factor Rotation Speed: The cross - section rotation speed of factors increased month - on - month and is currently in the medium percentile range of the past year [3] Style Timing Model - The financial style rebounded marginally this week, and the current signal continues to be the stable style. The return rate of the style timing strategy last week was 0.56%, and the excess return rate compared with the benchmark balanced allocation was 1.13% [3]