北控水务集团（00371）：2025A业绩点评：业务结构改善，每股派息额提升3.1%

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Insights - In 2025, the company reported a revenue of 22.06 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 9.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.56 billion, down 7% [2][6]. - The dividend for 2025 is set at 1.66 HKD per share, reflecting a 3.1% increase, with a dividend yield of 5.9% [2][6]. - The operational business remains stable, with construction revenue declining, leading to an improved revenue structure and ongoing optimization of financial expenses [2][10]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The core operational business showed stable growth, with water treatment services contributing 12.46 billion in revenue, a 1.8% increase year-on-year, and accounting for 4.93 billion in net profit, up 1.5% [10]. - The average contract price for water supply services in 2025 was approximately 2.13 CNY per ton, a slight decrease of 0.9% from 2024, while the average price for sewage and reclaimed water treatment services rose by 1.9% to 1.57 CNY per ton [10]. Business Transformation - The company is undergoing a business transformation, with construction service revenue declining by 40% to approximately 498 million, and BOT project revenue down 57% to 1.13 billion, primarily due to reduced new investments and project completions [10]. - The profit structure indicates that operational service revenue now accounts for 88% of total profit, an increase of 8 percentage points year-on-year, suggesting that fluctuations in construction business will have a manageable impact on profits [10]. Financial Performance - Financial expenses decreased significantly by 24.5% to 2.33 billion, attributed to ongoing debt structure optimization and effective cost control [10]. - Capital expenditures dropped sharply to 1.92 billion, a 53% decrease from 4.11 billion in 2024, indicating successful implementation of a light asset transformation strategy [10]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 1.51 billion, 1.57 billion, and 1.65 billion for the years 2026 to 2028, respectively [10]. - The anticipated dividend growth for 2026 is projected at 3%-5% based on 2025 figures, leading to a dividend yield of 6.1%-6.2% for the stock price as of March 25, 2026 [10].